HomeMost PopularInvestingAflac (AFL) Surges 36% in One Year: Is More Growth Ahead?

Aflac (AFL) Surges 36% in One Year: Is More Growth Ahead?

Actionable Trade Ideas

always free

The past year has been exceptionally favorable for Aflac Incorporated (AFL) investors, with the stock experiencing a remarkable 36.1% gain. In comparison, the finance sector recorded an 11.9% increase, while the S&P 500 composite index rose by 17.6% in the same period. This strong performance reflects Aflac’s solid position in the market as a leading supplemental health insurance provider in the United States, and its ability to beat earnings estimates consistently. With a market capitalization of $45.8 billion, Aflac’s average trading volume over the past three months stands at 2.2 million shares.

Driving Factors for Aflac’s Success

Aflac’s success can be attributed to various factors. Firstly, the company has demonstrated its proficiency in leveraging its shareholders’ funds with a return on equity of 16.1%, higher than the industry average of 15.9%. This highlights the efficiency of Aflac’s financial management and its ability to generate significant returns for its investors.

Secondly, Aflac has strategically focused on expanding its U.S. business through product launches and upgrades tailored to meet the evolving needs of its customers. For example, the recent introduction of Aflac Group Life Term offers cost-effective worksite life insurance with flexible living benefits. The company’s commitment to innovation and staying ahead of digital transformation trends has further enhanced its operational efficiencies.

Thirdly, Aflac’s solid financial standing, marked by growing cash reserves and strong cash-generating abilities, has allowed it to make strategic investments in its business. As of June 30, 2023, Aflac’s cash and cash equivalents increased by 19.7% from the previous year-end level. This financial strength positions Aflac well to pursue business growth opportunities and engage in prudent capital-deployment strategies such as share buybacks and dividend payments.

Future Growth Expectations

Analysts have a positive outlook on Aflac’s future growth prospects. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Aflac’s 2023 earnings is projected to be $6.00 per share, representing a 12.6% increase from the previous year. Furthermore, the consensus estimate for 2024 earnings is expected to reach $6.18 per share, indicating a 3% increase from the 2023 estimate.

A key driver for Aflac’s revenue growth is anticipated to be increased sales in its U.S. business. The company has made persistent investments in growth-related initiatives and productivity gains, resulting in a 5.8% year-over-year improvement in sales for the U.S. segment in the first half of 2023. Higher sales of insurance products contribute significantly to Aflac’s premiums, a vital component of top-line growth for insurers.

Other Promising Stocks in the Insurance Industry

Investors interested in the insurance space may also consider other top-ranked stocks besides Aflac. AXIS Capital Holdings Limited (AXS), ProAssurance Corporation (PRA), and HCI Group, Inc. (HCI) all hold a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). These companies have displayed strong performance and growth potential.

Notably, AXIS Capital’s earnings have surpassed estimates in three of the past four quarters, with an average earnings surprise of 9.75%. Similarly, ProAssurance has reported earnings outpacing estimates in each of the last four quarters, with an astonishing average surprise of 448.41%. HCI Group has also delivered impressive earnings growth, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate projecting a significant improvement in 2023 earnings compared to the prior year.

While Aflac has outperformed the market over the past year, it is always recommended to conduct thorough research and consult with financial advisors to make informed investment decisions that align with individual goals and risk tolerance.


Aflac’s impressive stock performance over the past year reflects its robust business model, strong financial position, and proactive approach to meeting the evolving needs of its customers. The company’s consistent beats on earnings estimates underscore its strategic focus on growth and innovation. With positive expectations for future earnings and revenues, Aflac seems poised for continued success in the insurance industry.

Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed herein are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Nasdaq, Inc. or its affiliates.

Swing Trading Ideas and Market Commentary

Need some new swing ideas? Get free weekly swing ideas and market commentary from Jonathan Bernstein here: Swing Trading.

Explore More

Weekly In-Depth Market Analysis and Actionable Trade Ideas

Get institutional-level analysis and trade ideas to take your trading to the next level, sign up for free and become apart of the community.