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“Analyzing Ford’s Performance Against the Consumer Cyclical Sector: Is F Falling Behind?”

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Ford’s Stock Struggles Amid Competitive Landscape

Overview of Ford Motor Company’s Financial Position

Ford Motor Company (F), based in Dearborn, Michigan, boasts a market cap of $41.3 billion and stands as a key player in the automotive sector. Renowned for innovation and quality, Ford manufactures a wide array of vehicles, from efficient cars to advanced electric and commercial options, serving both consumers and businesses.

Current Stock Performance

Currently, Ford shares are trading at 30% lower than their 52-week high of $14.85, achieved on July 18. In the last three months, the stock has dipped 2.2%, lagging behind the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund’s (XLY) 22.7% gain during that time.

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Over the last year, F stock has fallen 6.9%, with a year-to-date decline of 14.8%. This contrasts sharply with the XLY, which has gained 34.7% in the past year and 31.2% year-to-date.

Technical Indicators and Market Trends

Since late July, Ford has been trending below both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, signaling a bearish outlook. Recent performance issues are attributed to margin pressures, stagnant sales, and difficulty navigating the electric vehicle (EV) transition amid widespread economic and supply chain challenges.

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Quarterly Earnings Report Highlights

On October 28, Ford shares saw a rise of over 2% following the release of its Q3 earnings, which exceeded expectations. The company reported revenue of $46.2 billion, a 5.5% increase compared to last year, surpassing analysts’ estimates of $42.3 billion. The adjusted earnings per share (EPS) was $0.49, just above the consensus of $0.47. Additionally, the free cash flow margin increased to 7.6% from 5.4%, despite flat sales volumes year-over-year.

Market Comparisons and Analyst Insights

In contrast, Ford’s main competitor, General Motors Company (GM), is performing considerably better, showing a rise of 56.5% over the past year and 45.6% year-to-date.

Analysts advise caution regarding Ford’s stock, which holds a consensus “Hold” rating from 20 analysts. The mean price target rests at $11.81, suggesting a potential growth of 13.7% from its current valuation.


On the date of publication, Rashmi Kumari did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article are solely for informational purposes. For more information, please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.

The views and opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

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