March 8, 2025

Ron Finklestien

CME Group Stock Analysis: How Does It Stack Up Against the Financial Sector?

CME Group Financial Highlights: Earnings Surpass Expectations Amid Market Trends

With a market capitalization of $91.5 billion, CME Group Inc. (CME) stands as the largest futures exchange globally in terms of trading volume and notional value. The company provides a diverse range of products across major asset classes, such as interest rates, equities, foreign exchange, energy, agricultural commodities, and metals. Its operations include key exchanges like CME, CBOT, NYMEX, and COMEX, facilitating trades through electronic platforms, open outcry, and privately negotiated transactions.

Typically, companies valued at $10 billion or more are classified as “large-cap” stocks, and CME Group fits this classification perfectly. The Chicago, Illinois-based firm also delivers clearing and settlement services for both exchange-traded and over-the-counter derivatives through CME Clearing and CME Clearing Europe.

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Recent Stock Performance

Despite experiencing a 1.6% dip from its 52-week high of $258.78 recorded on March 4, shares of CME have accumulated a solid 6.4% gain over the past three months. This performance has outperformed the broader Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund’s (XLF) decline of 2.5% during the same period.

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Year-to-Date Trends

On a year-to-date basis, CME Stock is up 9.6%, surpassing XLF’s 1.6% increase. However, over the past 52 weeks, CME shares have risen by 19.2%, slightly trailing behind XLF’s 21.1% return for the same period. Notably, CME has traded above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages since August 2024, signaling a positive trend.

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Q4 2024 Earnings Report

On February 12, shares of CME Group rose nearly 3% following the announcement of stronger-than-expected earnings for Q4 2024. The company reported an adjusted EPS of $2.52, with revenue slightly exceeding expectations at $1.5 billion, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 4.2%. Additionally, CME Group noted record trading volumes in key asset classes, including interest rates and agricultural commodities. The market responded positively to the news of a 9% increase in its quarterly dividend to $1.25 per share.

Comparative Performance and Analyst Outlook

In contrast, CME has not kept pace with its competitor, Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE), which has risen 22.6% over the past year and 14.3% year-to-date. While CME has outperformed the broader sector over the last year, analysts maintain a cautious outlook on its future prospects. The Stock holds a consensus rating of “Hold” from the 18 analysts following the Stock. Currently, shares are trading below their mean price target of $256.76.


On the date of publication, Sohini Mondal did not hold (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article are solely for informational purposes. For more details, please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.

 

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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.


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