April 16, 2025

Ron Finklestien

Congressional Trading Activity Amid Tariff-Driven Market Turmoil

Congressional Trading Activity During the Market Turmoil

During the recent turmoil in the stock market caused by tariffs, members of Congress were notably active in trading. This bipartisan activity was evident as members from both political parties made transactions both before and after the significant market downturn on April 2nd.

This article analyzes the trading patterns of legislators, focusing on their stock transactions made after April 3. Notably, NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA), which is projected to be a key player in 2025, saw shares bought and sold by both Democrats and Republicans, offering no decisive signal from their trading activities.

NVDA Stock chart

House Members Lead as Active Buyers

MarketBeat filings show that the most active buyers were Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-GA) and Gilbert Ray Cisneros (D-CA). Each made over a dozen purchases, capitalizing on significant discounts in stock prices. Their transactions included shares from notable companies such as Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN), JPMorgan Chase, UnitedHealth, and Palantir, all recognized for their long-term value amid multi-sector growth trends.

While facing challenges in 2025, these corporations have managed to avoid major disruptions and continue to enrich investor portfolios. Diversifying their investments, they targeted sectors such as semiconductors, consumer goods, finance, and transportation.

Additionally, Jefferson Shreeve (R-IN) and Josh Gottheimer (D-NJ) also participated in the buying spree, albeit less extensively. Their investments exceeded a dozen and featured many of the same stocks. Noteworthy purchases by Mr. Gottheimer included Walmart and Booking Holdings, while Mr. Shreeve favored stocks from ServiceNow, Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ: AMD), and Home Depot.

Democrats Dominate Selling Activity

While both parties were engaged in trading, the most active sellers during the turbulent period were predominantly Democrats. Key figures such as G. Cisneros, J. Gottheimer, and Greg Landsman (D-OH) reflected a sense of urgency or reassessment of their portfolios. This behavior indicates a protective strategy amidst shifting market conditions.

Among the commonly sold stocks were Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA), along with cybersecurity firms like Palo Alto Networks (NASDAQ: PANW) and AI/automation companies including Salesforce (NYSE: CRM), Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT), and Snowflake (NYSE: SNOW). The increased relevance of cybersecurity is linked to the rising digitization, technological advancement, and cybersecurity threats worldwide. In contrast, the importance of AI/automation is tied to enhancing business efficiency and improving customer service.

On the Republican side, J. Shreeve emerged as a leading seller, with many transactions paralleling those of the Democratic members. His sales included companies like Microsoft, ServiceNow, and Costco, which are currently facing challenges from macroeconomic uncertainties despite analysts forecasting future price increases.

Key Insights from Congressional Trading Activity

Insights from the Congressional trading data reveal Marjorie Taylor Greene as the most active buyer, a move consistent with her investment strategy amid market upheaval. Surprisingly, Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) did not appear on the list of active traders, raising eyebrows among market observers. Conversely, while Democrats primarily led the selling activity, notable investors like J. Gottheimer still identified buying opportunities.

The overall consequence of Congress members’ trading is an increase in market volatility observed in the second quarter, a trend expected to continue until tariff-related issues are resolved and the market stabilizes. Although the S&P 500 showed signs of support and an upward trend in early April, the strength of this signal remains tenuous.

Investors should prepare for the index to potentially navigate sideways within a broad range of 4,850 to 5,000. A critical support level stands at 5,000; a decline below this could signal further downturns, while key resistance is positioned around 5,750, which could limit upward movement until later in the year.

SPX chart

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The views and opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.


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