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Extra Space Storage: This Could Be The Best Time In 14 Years To Buy This 6% Yielding Ultra SWAN

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This article was coproduced with Dividend Sensei.

Very rarely is there a sea change on Wall Street – a change in tone, sentiment, and fundamentals that can flip the script and make or break your portfolio dreams.

Howard Marks is

REIT Bear Market

Peak Decline

1973 to 1974

-34%

1990

-15%

1998-1999

-21%

2007-2008

-68%

2013

-14%

2015

-15%

2016-2017

-15%

Pandemic

-25%

2022-2023

-30%

Average

-26%

Median

-25%

Year

Equity REIT Returns

Average 10-Year Treasury Yield

1972

8%

6.2%

1973

-16%

6.9%

1974

-21%

7.6%

1975

19%

8.0%

1976

48%

7.6%

1977

22%

7.4%

1978

10%

8.4%

1979

36%

9.4%

1980

24%

11.4%

1981

6%

13.9%

1982

22%

13.0%

1983

31%

11.1%

1984

21%

12.5%

1985

19%

10.6%

1986

19%

7.7%

1987

-4%

8.4%

12 Year Period

1061%

9.4%

Average Gains When REITs Were Rising

13.7%

8.7%

Time Frame (Years)

Annual Returns

Total Returns

1

135%

135%

3

78%

462%

5

59%

908%

7

54%

1969%

10

38%

2430%

15

24%

2297%

Rating

Margin Of Safety For Medium-Risk 13/13 SWAN Quality

2023 Fair Value Price

2024 Fair Value Price

12-Month Forward Fair Value

Potentially Reasonable Buy

0%

$175.75

$180.17

$179.41

Potentially Good Buy

5%

$166.96

$171.16

$170.44

Potentially Strong Buy

15%

$149.39

$153.14

$152.50

Potentially Very Strong Buy

25%

$125.22

$135.13

$134.56

Potentially Ultra-Value Buy

35%

$114.24

$117.11

$116.62

Currently

$109.59

37.64%

39.17%

38.92%

Upside To Fair Value (Including Dividends)

66.28%

70.32%

69.62%

Classification

S&P LT Risk-Management Global Percentile

Risk-Management Interpretation

Risk-Management Rating

BTI, ILMN, SIEGY, SPGI, WM, CI, CSCO, WMB, SAP, CL

100

Exceptional (Top 80 companies in the world)

Very Low Risk

Strong ESG Stocks

86

Very Good

Very Low Risk

Foreign Dividend Stocks

77

Good, Bordering On Very Good

Low Risk

Ultra SWANs

74

Good

Low Risk

Dividend Aristocrats

67

Above-Average (Bordering On Good)

Low Risk

Low Volatility Stocks

65

Above-Average

Low Risk

Master List average

61

Above-Average

Low Risk

Dividend Kings

60

Above-Average

Low Risk

Hyper-Growth stocks

59

Average, Bordering On Above-Average

Medium Risk

Dividend Champions

55

Average

Medium Risk

Extra Space Storage

43

Average

Medium Risk

Monthly Dividend Stocks

41

Average

Medium Risk

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