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Should You Invest in Netflix Before Its Q3 Earnings?

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Netflix’s Last Quarter Performance

Netflix (NFLX) is gearing up to reveal its Q3 earnings on October 17th. Despite worries about potential subscriber growth issues affecting investor sentiment, the company anticipates a double-digit revenue surge and better margins as it delves into advertising for revenue. With Q2 showing strong revenue growth of 17%, hitting $9.55 billion, Netflix’s positive outlook includes increased paid memberships and enhanced operating margins.

Anticipating Netflix’s Q3 Results

Netflix projects a 14% revenue increase and a 28.1% operating profit margin for Q3. Analysts anticipate earnings per share (EPS) above $5.09 and revenues surpassing $9.765 billion. While some analysts revised their EPS estimates upward, revenue predictions remain mixed, showcasing uncertainties in the market.

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Netflix’s Shift to a Monetization Growth Phase

Netflix’s evolving strategy from subscriber growth to advertising as a revenue stream signals a change in how it’s perceived in the market. By introducing ad-tier options, Netflix aims to boost ad revenue, potentially becoming as vital as new subscriber additions.

Prepare for Volatility Post-Earnings Report

Expect Netflix’s stock to be volatile post-earnings report, driven by conflicting views on its value and growth potential. Despite short-term fluctuations, a bullish long-term outlook on Netflix seems prudent, with its forward P/E ratio below historical averages.

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Decoding Netflix’s Q3 Earnings Expectations

With Netflix poised for growth in Q3, the option chains hint at potential high volatility. An 8.33% expected move in either direction signifies uncertainty, indicating a turbulent period ahead.

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Is Netflix a Good Investment, According to Experts?

Wall Street Analysts Consensus

According to TipRanks, Wall Street analysts consider investing in Netflix (NFLX) to be a moderate buy. Out of 37 analysts, 10 suggest holding the stock, while two advise selling. Conversely, the majority of analysts recommend buying NFLX. The average price target stands at $720.16, with limited room for growth.

Expert Insights on Netflix

Despite expected market fluctuations, Netflix is poised for Q3 growth. Its strategic pivot towards advertising and revenue focus, rather than just increasing subscribers, may show positive results this quarter and beyond. While the stock reaches record highs before earnings, short-term market volatility could trend downward. Yet, acquiring NFLX shares, even at current prices, could yield fruitful returns. Hence, it is advisable to consider investing in Netflix prior to earnings reports, particularly if the stock price experiences a decline.

Important Disclosure

The opinions in this article are solely those of the author and do not represent Nasdaq, Inc.

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