SAIC to Announce Earnings; Historical Data Signals Positive Trend
Science Applications International (NASDAQ:SAIC), a tech and engineering firm for the U.S. government, will release its earnings on Monday, June 2, 2025. Historical data indicates a tendency for a positive one-day return following earnings announcements. In the last five years, SAIC has experienced a positive return on the first trading day 63% of the time after earnings, with a median return of 3.7% and a maximum of 13.4%.
Trading Strategies Based on Historical Patterns
For traders, analyzing these patterns can provide advantages. Two main strategies include:
- Pre-earnings Positioning: Position in the stock before the earnings release based on historical probabilities.
- Post-earnings Positioning: Analyze the immediate and medium-term returns after the earnings release to make informed decisions.
Projected Earnings and Financial Overview
Analysts forecast SAIC will report earnings of $2.12 per share on sales of $1.87 billion, compared to last year’s $1.92 per share on $1.85 billion in sales. Currently, SAIC has a market capitalization of $5.6 billion. Over the past year, it generated $7.5 billion in revenue, with operating profits of $561 million and net income of $362 million.
Historical Return Data
In the past five years, data from 19 earnings reports shows 12 positive and 7 negative one-day returns, resulting in a 63% rate of positive returns. This number rises to 64% when considering the past three years. The median positive return was 3.7%, while the median negative return was -4.9%.
Additional statistics detailing 5-day and 21-day returns post-earnings are summarized in the table below.
Correlation Analysis of Historical Returns
Understanding correlations between short- and medium-term returns can create lower-risk trading opportunities. If there is a high correlation between 1D and 5D returns, traders can adjust their positions based on positive 1D returns. Correlation data based on 5-year and 3-year histories is available.
For further insights into high-quality investment strategies that have generated strong returns, consider options beyond individual stocks like SAIC.
The views and opinions expressed are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.