Evaluating BigBear.ai: Is It the Next NVIDIA Worth Investing In?

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NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) shares rose 33.2% over the past year, while BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) experienced a significant 181% increase during the same timeframe, fueled by the growing demand for AI software solutions. BigBear.ai’s revenues fell 20% year-over-year, totaling $33.1 million in Q3 2025, following a similar decline of 18% in Q2 2025.

BigBear.ai is set to enhance its growth prospects with the acquisition of Ask Sage for $250 million. Ask Sage supports 100,000 users across 16,000 government teams and is utilized by various agencies, including the Defense Health Agency and US Space Force. BigBear.ai maintains a strong cash position of $456.6 million as of September 30, 2025, and anticipates full-year sales guidance between $125 million and $140 million.

Despite posting a net income of $2.5 million in Q3 2025—up from a net loss of $15.1 million a year prior—BigBear.ai reported an operating loss of $21.9 million, exceeding the $10.5 million loss from the previous year. Analysts predict an average short-term price target of $6.67 for BBAI, reflecting a potential upside of 10.8% from its last closing price of $6.02.

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