May arabica coffee (KCK26) closed up +1.60 (+0.53%) and May ICE robusta coffee (RMK26) increased by +70 (+2.02%) on Wednesday. Coffee prices rose amid tightening supplies in Brazil, where March green coffee exports fell by 10% year-on-year to 2.65 million bags, according to Cecafe, and March coffee exports dropped 31% year-on-year to 151,000 metric tons as reported by Brazil’s Trade Ministry.
Robusta coffee reached a 1.5-week high, supported by a decrease in ICE inventories to a 1.25-year low of 3,891 lots. Concurrently, Brazil’s largest arabica-growing area, Minas Gerais, saw only 20% of its historical average rainfall last week, which could negatively impact coffee yields. Meanwhile, Vietnam, the world’s largest robusta producer, reported a 14% year-on-year increase in coffee exports for the first quarter of 2026, totaling 585,000 metric tons.
