Vistra Stock Performance
Vistra (NYSE: VST), a leading power generation and retail electricity provider in the U.S., has experienced a decline of approximately 6% year-to-date and nearly 20% over the past 12 months. As of the latest reports, the stock trades around $150, significantly down from its all-time high of $217.02 on September 22, 2025, when it saw a 556% gain in two years due to strong demand from the AI and electrification markets.
Challenges Facing Vistra
The company faces new regulatory pressures from PJM Interconnection, which proposed caps on electricity capacity prices, and operational setbacks from shutting down part of its Moss Landing battery facility after experiencing a series of fires. Despite these challenges, analysts anticipate that Vistra’s revenue and adjusted EBITDA will grow at compound annual growth rates of 15% and 16%, respectively, from 2025 to 2028.
Investment Outlook
Vistra maintains significant contracts with major clients such as Meta and Amazon and is valued at an enterprise value of $70.7 billion, trading at three times this year’s revenue and ten times this year’s adjusted EBITDA. Its current dividend yield is 0.6%, with a low payout ratio of 15%, providing room for future increases, making it a potential option for long-term investors despite recent volatility.
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