March 12, 2025

Ron Finklestien

A Comparative Analysis of American Electric Power’s Stock Performance Against Other Utility Companies

American Electric Power’s Strong Performance Fuels Optimism Amid Market Trends

Columbus, Ohio-based American Electric Power Company, Inc. (AEP) operates as an electric public utility holding company, primarily engaged in generating, transmitting, and distributing electricity to both retail and wholesale customers. The company boasts a market capitalization of $55.7 billion, utilizing a diverse array of energy sources including coal, lignite, natural gas, renewable energy, nuclear, hydro, solar, and wind.

AEP’s Market Position and Competitive Edge

As a company valued at over $10 billion, AEP falls into the category of “large-cap stocks.” This classification emphasizes its significant size and influence within the regulated electric sector. AEP’s strengths include a vast and dependable infrastructure, featuring one of the largest transmission networks in the country, extending over 40,000 miles. The firm operates under a stable, regulated revenue model that secures consistent cash flow and financial resilience. Furthermore, it serves a robust customer base of more than five million across 11 states, ensuring steady electricity demand and solidifying its status as a leading player in the utility industry.

Recent Performance and Stock Trends

Currently, AEP is trading 4.6% below its recent 52-week high of $109.52, achieved on March 4. Over the past three months, AEP shares have risen by 11.5%, surpassing the marginal decline of the Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLU) in the same timeframe.

Source: www.barchart.com

In a long-term view, AEP shares increased by 24.7% over the past 52 weeks, outpacing XLU’s return of 20.8%. Additionally, year-to-date (YTD), AEP stock has risen by 13.2%, in contrast to XLU’s 2.3% growth.

Supporting this bullish trend, AEP has consistently traded above its 200-day and 50-day moving averages since mid-January.

Source: www.barchart.com

Quarterly Earnings Insights

AEP experienced a modest increase in its share price following a mixed Q4 earnings report released on February 13. The company reported adjusted earnings of $1.24 per share, slightly above the year-ago quarter and in line with consensus estimates. Load growth in its commercial segment was notable, largely driven by economic development in Indiana, Ohio, and Texas. However, while revenue improved by 2.6% year-over-year to $4.7 billion, this fell short of forecasts by 7.5%. Looking toward the future, AEP reasserted its fiscal 2025 operating earnings guidance, projecting earnings between $5.75 and $5.95 per share.

Comparative Analysis with Competitors

AEP’s recent performance stands out even more when compared to its peer, Duke Energy Corporation (DUK), which saw a gain of 22.8% over the last 52 weeks and a YTD increase of 9.2%.

Analyst Outlook

Given AEP’s recent performance, analysts maintain a cautiously positive outlook. The stock holds a consensus rating of “Moderate Buy” among the 20 analysts monitoring it. Currently, AEP trades above its mean price target of $103.94, with the highest price target on Wall Street reaching $113, indicating a potential 8.2% upside from its present levels.

On the date of publication, Neharika Jain did not hold (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article are solely for informational purposes. For additional details, please visit the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.

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The views and opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.


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