Ford Motor Company (F), based in Dearborn, Michigan, is a prominent player in the automobile industry. The company produces a wide range of vehicles, including trucks, commercial cars, vans, SUVs, and Lincoln luxury models. Currently valued at $40.2 billion by market cap, Ford also offers financing, leasing, and insurance services related to its vehicles.

Over the past year, shares of Ford have significantly underperformed compared to the broader market. The stock has dropped 17.6%, while the S&P 500 Index ($SPX) has increased by nearly 10.6%. Yet, in 2025, Ford’s stock has seen a modest rise of 1.1%, outperforming the S&P’s 5.3% decline on a year-to-date basis.

Looking into more specific trends, Ford has struggled relative to the First Trust Nasdaq Transportation ETF (FTXR), which has experienced a 6.6% decrease in the same timeframe. However, Ford has surpassed the ETF, which has fallen 17.2% this year.

On April 14, Ford’s stock increased by more than 4% following President Trump’s indication of potential temporary tariff exemptions on imported vehicles and parts, which generated positive sentiment among U.S. automakers.

For the fiscal year ending in December 2025, analysts forecast a decline in Ford’s earnings per share (EPS) by 33.7%, bringing it to $1.84 on a diluted basis. The company’s history of earnings surprises is varied, having either beaten or matched analyst estimates three out of the last four quarters, while it missed the forecast on one occasion.

Among the 24 analysts monitoring Ford’s stock, the general consensus is a “Hold.” This rating is based on three “Strong Buy” endorsements, 16 “Holds,” one “Moderate Sell,” and four “Strong Sells.”

The current sentiment has become less positive compared to a month ago, with only four analysts maintaining a “Strong Buy” recommendation.

On April 23, Citigroup Inc. (C) began coverage of Ford with a “Neutral” rating and set a price target of $10. The analysts cited challenges such as inconsistent North American production, increasing warranty costs, and losses in electric vehicle (EV) production. These issues, combined with uncertainties regarding tariffs, may obscure Ford’s guidance and potentially affect its performance by $2–3 billion.

While Ford’s current stock price is above the mean target of $9.14, the highest estimate on Wall Street at $14 suggests a 39.9% premium to its current trading levels.

On the date of publication, Kritika Sarmah did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article are solely for informational purposes. For more information, please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.

The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.