March 13, 2025

Ron Finklestien

Analyzing Paychex’s Stock Performance in Relation to Peer Software Companies

Paychex Reports Steady Growth Despite Broader Market Challenges

Headquartered in Rochester, New York, Paychex, Inc. (PAYX) stands as a prominent provider of integrated human capital management (HCM) solutions. The company focuses on payroll, benefits, human resources, and insurance for small to mid-sized businesses.

With a market capitalization of $52.7 billion, Paychex has a robust presence in the United States, Europe, and other international markets. This large-cap stock specializes in technology-driven workforce solutions designed to enhance business operations and ensure compliance.

Current Market Performance

Paychex reached its 52-week high of $158.37 on March 10 and is currently trading 8.4% below that peak. In the past three months, PAYX has gained 2.7%, outperforming the SPDR S&P Software & Services ETF (XSW), which has experienced an 18.3% decline during the same period.

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Over the past six months, PAYX stock has increased by 8.1%, and it reported an 18.2% gain over the last 52 weeks. However, this performance trails XSW, which saw gains of 7.1% in six months and 6.3% annually.

Trends and Growth Forecasts

To affirm its recent positive trend, PAYX has remained above its 200-day moving average since mid-July and above its 50-day moving average since mid-January.

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On December 19, PAYX shares gained over 1% following the Q2 earnings release. The company reported an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.14, surpassing Wall Street’s expectations of $1.12. Revenue also exceeded forecasts, coming in at $1.32 billion against the anticipated $1.31 billion. For fiscal year 2025, Paychex forecasts revenue growth between 4% and 5.5%, with EPS growth expected to be in the range of 5% to 7%, reflecting confidence in its steady expansion.

In comparison, Paychex has significantly outperformed Workday, Inc. (WDAY), which has faced a 3.8% decline over the past six months and a 10.9% drop over the past year.

Analyst Sentiment

Among the 16 analysts monitoring PAYX stock, the consensus rating is a “Hold.” Currently, Paychex is trading above its average price target of $140.08, hinting at a positive outlook despite varied market conditions.

On the date of publication, Kritika Sarmah did not hold (either directly or indirectly) any positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article are for informational purposes only. For more details, please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.

The views and opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.


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