April 3, 2025

Ron Finklestien

Analyzing the MercadoLibre Decline: What’s Next for Investors?


MercadoLibre’s Stock Faces Pressure After Breaking Key Support Level

MercadoLibre, Inc. MELI remains relatively unchanged on Thursday. The stock has been experiencing a downward trend, with indications suggesting it may continue to decline. Recently, it breached the critical support level of $1,945, a development that could signal further bearish movements.

As part of our analysis, we have designated this stock as our Stock of the Day.

Understanding Support Levels

In financial terms, support refers to a price point where buying interest is substantial, often leading to a halt or reversal in price declines. At support levels, the volume of shares buyers are willing to purchase typically matches or exceeds those available for sale, making it a critical point for traders.

Historically, the $1,945 level acted as support in early March, with the stock experiencing a rally after reaching this price. This rebound occurs when buyers increase their bids to outpace others, creating a snowball effect that subsequently drives the stock higher.

Breaking Support Dynamics

However, a shift occurs when sellers dominate, overpowering buyers and breaking the support level. This recent event with MercadoLibre signifies that the buying momentum which established the $1,945 support has likely diminished or vanished.

The loss of this significant demand sets a potentially negative tone for future price movements. Sellers may feel compelled to reduce prices further to attract buyers back into the market.

Next Support Level

If MercadoLibre continues its downward trajectory, technicians point to the $1,800 mark as the next notable support. This level previously served as a support point in January, reflecting a general trend where past support levels often recur in trading behavior.

Some investors who sold their shares at the $1,945 support may now regret their decisions if the stock rallies from here. This could lead to many buyers placing orders at the $1,800 level, hoping to reclaim their shares at a favorable price.

This influx of buy orders could lead to the development of new support at the $1,800 mark, providing an opportunity for a potential rally off of this price point.

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Photo: T. Schneider via Shutterstock

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