Newmont’s Earnings Report Projected for April 2025, Key Metrics Revealed

Newmont (NYSE:NEM) plans to report its earnings on Wednesday, April 23, 2025, after the market closes. Analysts estimate revenues to reach approximately $4.6 billion, with earnings projected at about $2.86 per share. In Q4 2024, Newmont’s gold production increased by 9.2% year-over-year, totaling 1.90 million ounces. This rise, combined with higher gold prices, is expected to lead to improved earnings in Q1 2025.

The company’s current market capitalization stands at $62 billion. Over the past twelve months, Newmont generated $19 billion in revenue, achieving operational profitability with $5.9 billion in operating profits and a net income of $3.3 billion.

Post-Earnings Return Trends

Understanding historical performance can offer insights into expected market reactions. The following observations detail Newmont’s odds of positive returns following earnings announcements:

• Over the past five years, there have been 17 recorded earnings data points, with 5 positive and 12 negative one-day (1D) returns, resulting in positive returns approximately 29% of the time.
• Considering data from the last three years, this positive return percentage drops to 22%.
• The median of the 5 positive returns is 2.0%, while the median of the 12 negative returns stands at -4.4%.

Short-Term and Medium-Term Return Correlations

Traders can strategize by examining the correlation between 1D, 5D, and 21D earnings returns. For example, finding a strong correlation between 1D and 5D returns allows a trader to go long if the 1D post-earnings return is positive. Data regarding these correlations from both 5-year and 3-year periods is provided below.

NEM observed 1D, 5D, and 21D returns post earnings

NEM Correlation Between 1D, 5D, and 21D Historical Returns

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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.