On September 1, coffee prices experienced mixed trading, with arabica coffee closing up by 1.50% at $5.00, while robusta coffee fell by 1.23%, down $45. The market is reacting to supply concerns, particularly due to Brazil’s coffee harvest being only 90% complete as of August 12, which lags behind last year’s 97% completion and the 5-year average of 94%.
In Colombia, a 7.4 magnitude earthquake on Monday disrupted coffee exports particularly in the provinces of Caldas and Risaralda, which account for about 25% of the country’s coffee production. While coffee exports have partly resumed through the Buenaventura port, operations remain intermittent. ICE arabica coffee inventories fell to a 2.75-year low of 231,445 bags, while robusta inventories rose to a 5-month high of 4,537 lots.
Further complicating the market dynamics, Vietnam reported a 21.1% year-on-year increase in coffee exports for January to July 2026, reaching 1.31 million metric tons, which negatively impacts robusta prices. The USDA anticipates a global coffee output rise of 6% for the 2026-27 season, with the Brazil coffee crop expected to increase by 14% to a record 71.9 million bags due to favorable growing conditions.
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