Arabica coffee prices for July (KCN26) decreased by $4.20 (1.44%), while robusta coffee prices (RMN26) fell by $73 (2.12%) today, reaching one-week lows due to expectations of increased coffee production in Brazil. The Coffee Trading Academy projects Brazil’s 2026/27 coffee harvest will rise by 12% year-over-year to 71.4 million bags.
Marex Group Plc anticipates a record Brazilian coffee crop of 75.9 million bags for 2026/27, surpassing earlier estimates from Sucafina (75.4 million bags) and StoneX (75.3 million bags). Vietnam’s coffee exports have surged 14% year-over-year, amounting to 585,000 MT in the first quarter of 2026.
Current arabica coffee supplies are tightening, with inventories hitting a two-month low of 494,508 bags. Additionally, the International Coffee Organization reports a 0.3% year-over-year decline in global coffee exports for the current marketing year, totaling 138.658 million bags.
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