Celestica’s Solid Q4 Earnings and Buy Recommendation Celestica’s Solid Q4 Earnings and Buy Recommendation

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Celestica Demonstrates Robust Financial Performance

Celestica’s (NYSE:CLS) fourth quarter 2023 financial results portrayed a resounding success as the company outperformed analysts’ expectations in both revenue and earnings. The revenue surged by 5% year-over-year to $2.14 billion, while the adjusted EPS soared by 36% to $0.76. The company achieved a record operating margin of 6.0%, signaling exceptional growth in a turbulent economic landscape.

With its unyielding performance, Celestica has once again displayed its prowess in navigating through challenging market conditions, showcasing resilience and strength.

Celestica’s CCS Segment Spearheads Revenue Growth

Celestica’s business operations are split into two segments: Advanced Technology Solutions (ATS) and Connectivity & Cloud Solutions (CCS). The CCS segment emerged as the primary driver of Celestica’s revenue growth and margin enhancement. With a 10% year-over-year growth to $1.34 billion, the CCS segment accounted for 62% of the total revenue, fueled by robust demand for its personalized hardware solutions from hyperscaler clients.

In contrast, the ATS segment, encompassing Aerospace & Defense, Industrial, HealthTech, and Capital Equipment businesses, faced a 2% decline due to softness in the industrial sector.

Continued Margin Expansion Signals Encouraging Growth Trajectory

The company’s impressive performance in Q4 2023 was further augmented by continued margin expansion, primarily driven by operational efficiency and portfolio mix refinement. Celestica achieved a record non-operating margin of 6.0%, up from 5.3% in the previous year.

Additionally, the company witnessed a substantial improvement in its gross margin, reaching 10.4% from 9.1% in the corresponding quarter of 2022, validating its dedication to sustained progress and development.

Promising Outlook for FY 2024

Celestica’s outlook for the first quarter of 2024 appears promising, reflecting its confidence in sustained growth and margin improvement potential. The company estimates a revenue range of $2.025 billion to $2.175 billion, translating to a 14% growth at the midpoint, largely driven by the unwavering strength of the CCS segment.

The projected adjusted EPS is set to increase by 53%, a testament to the robust revenue growth and margin enhancement. These estimations not only point to a positive trajectory but also indicate considerable upside potential.

Updated Valuation Reinforces Buy Recommendation

Factoring in the Q4 2023 results and the FY 2024 outlook, an updated DCF valuation for Celestica has been derived. The company expects the 2024 free cash flow to be $200 million and anticipates a 6% revenue growth rate aligned with its 2024 guidance.

Based on the comprehensive DCF model, Celestica is ascertained to hold a fair value of $72 per share – a significant upside potential from its current price levels. This supports the rationale for reiterating a buy recommendation and increasing the price target from $63 to $72.

Risks and Conclusion

While Celestica exhibits remarkable potential, the evaluation does not overlook the inherent risks that could impact its valuation. These include macroeconomic uncertainties and strong competition within the industry. Acknowledging these risks is imperative in evaluating its investment potential.

In conclusion, the standout performance of Celestica in Q4 2023, along with the optimistic outlook for the coming periods, underlines the company’s capability to execute its growth strategy and margin enhancement plan effectively. With its CCS segment emerging as a key growth driver and the promising outlook for FY 2024, Celestica stands poised for substantial value creation.

Therefore, reiterating the buy recommendation for Celestica presents a compelling investment opportunity, cementing its position as a standout choice in the EMS industry.


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