Coffee Market Experiences Price Decline Following Recent Rally

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**Coffee Prices Update – March 6, 2026**

Arabica coffee futures (KCK26) decreased by $0.60 (0.20%) to lower prices, while robusta coffee futures (RMK26) dropped by $82 (2.17%), driven by recent liquidation pressures. This decline follows a rally influenced by the ongoing Iran conflict, which has disrupted shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, leading to increased costs for coffee importers.

Brazil’s Trade Ministry reported a significant 17.4% year-over-year drop in February coffee exports, totaling 142,000 metric tons. Concurrently, the Brazilian crop forecasting agency, Conab, projected a record coffee production of 66.2 million bags for the 2026 season, with arabica output expected to rise by 23.2% to 44.1 million bags. Meanwhile, Vietnam’s National Statistics Office noted a 14% increase in coffee exports for January-February 2026, reaching 366,000 metric tons, further influencing global market dynamics.

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