Coffee Market Stabilizes Amid Brazilian Real’s Gains

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**Coffee Market Update – March 2026**

March arabica coffee futures are up 3.55 cents (+1.02%) today, while March robusta coffee futures are down 7 cents (-0.18%). The Brazilian real’s strength, reaching a two-week high against the dollar, has encouraged short covering in coffee futures, limiting export sales from Brazil, one of the world’s largest coffee producers.

Widespread flooding in Indonesia has also affected coffee prices, threatening to reduce the nation’s arabica coffee exports by up to 15% in the 2025-26 season. Approximately one-third of Indonesia’s arabica coffee farms in northern Sumatra have been impacted. Conversely, Brazil’s total coffee production estimate for 2025 has been raised to 56.54 million bags, an increase of 2.4% from previous estimates, contributing to heavier supply forecasts that are weighing on overall coffee prices.

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