As of today, July arabica coffee (KCN25) is up by +1.50 (+0.43%) and July ICE robusta coffee (RMN25) is up by +34 (+0.77%). Prices for arabica have fallen to a new two-week low before rebounding, while robusta reached a seven-month low before its increase.
Brazil’s Cooxupe coffee co-op reported that the coffee harvest is 13.7% complete, slightly ahead of last year’s 13.6%. Additionally, Brazil’s 2025/26 coffee harvest is 35% complete as of June 11, compared to 37% last year, with 49% of robusta and 26% of arabica harvests finished. Heavy rain in Brazil has slowed arabica production.
On the supply side, ICE-monitored arabica inventories hit a 4.25-month high of 892,468 bags. In contrast, Brazilian green coffee exports dropped by 36% year-over-year in May to 2.8 million bags, while Vietnam’s robusta production declined by 20% to 1.472 million metric tons, marking the smallest crop in four years.
