April 1, 2025

Ron Finklestien

Comparative Analysis of J. M. Smucker’s Stock Performance in the Food and Beverage Sector

J. M. Smucker Company Sees Mixed Performance Amid Market Fluctuations

The J. M. Smucker Company (SJM), with a market capitalization of $12.4 billion, is a leader in the global food and beverage industry. Established in 1897 and based in Orrville, Ohio, Smucker operates through several key segments: U.S. Retail Coffee, U.S. Retail Frozen Handheld and Spreads, U.S. Retail Pet Foods, and Sweet Baked Snacks.

As a large-cap stock, Smucker holds a significant place among companies valued at $10 billion or more. This classification highlights the company’s stable position in the market. It boasts a diverse array of renowned brands, including Folgers, Café Bustelo, Dunkin’, Jif, Smucker’s, Smucker’s Uncrustables, Meow Mix, and Milk-Bone.

Current Stock Performance

SJM has been trading 5.8% below its 52-week high of $125.75, reached on April 1 of last year. However, the stock has increased by 7% in the past three months, significantly outperforming the Invesco Food & Beverage ETF’s (PBJ) 1.5% decline during the same timeframe.

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Looking at the last six months, SJM’s stock has dipped by 2.2%, yet it has still outperformed the PBJ, which fell 5%. Over the year, SJM’s stock decreased by 5.9%, slightly trailing PBJ’s 5.7% decline.

Since the end of March, SJM has been trading above its 200-day moving average, and it has remained above its 50-day moving average since late February, indicating a recent upward trend.

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Financial Results

Following the release of its mixed Q3 earnings on February 27, SJM stock experienced a slight drop. For the quarter, the company reported a net sales decline of 1.9% year-over-year, totaling $2.2 billion. Meanwhile, adjusted operating income grew by 1.4% to $463.8 million, with earnings per share (EPS) reaching $2.61, surpassing Wall Street expectations by 10.1%. For the full fiscal year 2025, Smucker projects a 7.3% increase in net sales and raised its EPS guidance to a range of $9.85 to $10.15, up from the previous estimate of $9.70 to $10.10.

Comparison with Competitors

In comparison, Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) has experienced a decline, with its shares dropping 2.5% over the past six months and 11.3% over the past year, which is notably worse than Smucker’s performance.

Analyst Insights

Despite SJM’s recent performance, analysts maintain a cautious outlook. The stock has a consensus “Hold” rating from 15 analysts, with a mean price target of $120.27, suggesting a modest upside potential of 1.6% from current price levels.

On the date of publication, Aditya Sarawgi did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data presented here are solely for informational purposes. For more details, please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.

 

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The views and opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.


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