March 4, 2025

Ron Finklestien

“Comparing Intel Stock Performance to the Dow Jones: An Analysis”

Intel Faces Challenges Amid Market Fluctuations and Competition

Santa Clara-based Intel Corporation (INTC) ranks among the largest semiconductor companies globally, focusing on designing, developing, manufacturing, marketing, and selling computing and related products. The company boasts a market capitalization of approximately $98.5 billion, offering a range of products that include microprocessors, chipsets, stand-alone System on Chips (SoCs), and multichip packages.

As a large-cap stock, Intel is classified among companies with valuations of $10 billion or more. Its substantial market cap highlights its size and influence within the semiconductor sector. The company’s competitive advantages stem from advanced manufacturing capabilities, robust R&D investment, and leadership in data center and PC processor markets. Innovations such as Intel 3 and Intel 18A bolster its industry position while the company seeks growth in artificial intelligence, cloud computing, and foundry services.

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Despite these strengths, Intel’s stock is currently trading at 51.2% below its 52-week peak of $46.63, recorded on March 8, 2024. In the past three months, however, Intel’s shares increased by 1.2%, outperforming the broader Dow Jones Industrials Average, which experienced a 3.4% decline in the same period.

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Over the longer term, Intel has declined by 48.1% in 52 weeks, significantly trailing the Dow’s 10.5% rise. In contrast, on a year-to-date (YTD) basis, Intel shares are up 13.4%, while the Dow saw a modest increase of 1.5%.

Intel has consistently traded above its 50-day moving average since mid-February. Yet, it has struggled to stay above its 200-day moving average since early April 2024, even with some market fluctuations.

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On March 3, shares of Intel dropped by 4.2%. Investors had anticipated a significant partnership or deal involving Intel’s foundry business and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSMC). The absence of any announcement led to market disappointment and a subsequent sell-off. Instead, TSMC announced a $100 billion investment in the U.S. semiconductor sector alongside President Trump.

Intel also saw its stock decline by 2.9% after its Q4 earnings report released on January 30, despite exceeding analysts’ expectations with an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.13 and $14.3 billion in revenue. Nonetheless, both revenue and earnings witnessed sharp year-over-year declines—revenue decreased by 7.4%, while earnings plummeted by 75.9%. This performance reflects ongoing challenges due to fierce competition in the client computing and data center markets. The Q1 2025 guidance has raised further investor concerns, indicating a potential sequential revenue decline tied to macroeconomic instability and seasonal patterns.

Despite these struggles, Intel has managed to outperform competitor Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD), which reported a 51.5% decline over the last 52 weeks and an 18.7% drop YTD.

While Intel’s recent performance has exceeded that of the Dow, analysts maintain a cautious outlook on the company. The consensus rating among the 37 analysts following Intel is “Hold,” with a mean price target of $24.24, indicating a modest 6.6% upside potential compared to current levels.


On the date of publication, Neharika Jain did not hold (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article are solely for informational purposes. Please refer to the Barchart Disclosure Policy for further information.

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The views and opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.


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