April 1, 2025

Ron Finklestien

Evaluating the Right Moment to Invest in Microsoft Stock Amidst the Rise of Copilot+

Microsoft’s Copilot+ and Financial Gains Signal AI Leadership

Microsoft MSFT is solidifying its role as a key player in the artificial intelligence landscape. In 2025, the company significantly expanded its Copilot+ ecosystem and overall AI capabilities. For investors eyeing MSFT Stock, the extensive AI integration presents exciting growth narratives, but current valuations may warrant a more patient investment strategy.

Expansion of the Copilot+ Ecosystem Across Platforms

Recently, Microsoft achieved a notable milestone by expanding its AI strategy. The rollout of exclusive Copilot+ experiences now includes all major silicon platforms, moving beyond its previous hardware limitations. Features such as Live Captions, Cocreator, Restyle Image, and Image Creator are now accessible on devices powered by AMD Ryzen AI 300 series, Intel Core Ultra 200V, and Snapdragon X Series processors.

This cross-platform initiative is pivotal for enhancing Copilot+’s market presence. By merging sophisticated hardware with innovative software, Microsoft is establishing Copilot+ as a benchmark for AI-enhanced computing, appealing to diverse hardware preferences.

Additionally, Microsoft has introduced unique Voice Access capabilities, enabling more natural and flexible voice commands. Initially available on Snapdragon X Series devices, implementations for AMD and Intel devices are set for rollout later in 2025. This advancement not only prioritizes accessibility but also broadens Microsoft’s potential user base.

Financial Performance Supports Long-term AI Aspirations

In its second-quarter fiscal 2025 results, Microsoft reported a solid performance with revenues climbing 12% to $69.6 billion. Operating income also saw a robust increase of 17%, reaching $31.7 billion. Highlighting the strength of its cloud services, Azure revenues surged 31%. Notably, Microsoft’s dedicated AI business has reached an impressive $13 billion annual run rate, marking a remarkable growth of 175% year over year. This financial backbone empowers the company to invest heavily in AI infrastructure, with property and equipment investments nearly doubling year over year to $15.8 billion in this quarter.

The Zacks Consensus Estimate anticipates Microsoft’s fiscal 2025 revenues at $276.07 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 12.62%. The consensus estimate for earnings stands at $13.08 per share, representing a year-over-year increase of 10.85%.

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Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

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Microsoft’s considerable capital investments in AI infrastructure should start yielding results by late 2025. This timeline may present better entry points as supply aligns with growing demand.

Advancements in Security with Autonomous AI Agents

Microsoft’s introduction of AI agents in its Security Copilot platform represents a significant advancement for enterprises. Addressing rising cybersecurity threats—over 30 billion phishing emails and 7,000 password attacks per second detected in 2024—these agents are designed to autonomously manage high-volume security tasks.

The new Microsoft-built agents will tackle crucial areas such as phishing triage, alert management, vulnerability remediation, and threat intelligence. Furthermore, five partner-developed agents will enhance privacy breach responses, network monitoring, and overall security operations. This innovation showcases Microsoft’s commitment to addressing critical enterprise challenges through continued investment in AI research.

Global AI Development Initiatives Targeting SMEs

Expanding its AI strategy, Microsoft recently organized an SMEs AI Skills Summit in Thailand. The event aims to empower small and medium-sized enterprises with essential AI skills, positioning Microsoft 365 Copilot as a crucial AI assistant for these businesses, which represent a historically underserved market yet hold potential for significant growth.

In Thailand alone, SMEs number over 3.2 million, accounting for 99.5% of all enterprises, according to the Office of Small and Medium Enterprises Promotion. Microsoft’s push to cultivate AI skills in this sector may significantly enhance the adoption of its AI solutions in emerging markets.

Growth of Microsoft Fabric in Enterprise Applications

An additional asset to Microsoft’s AI ecosystem is the rise of Microsoft Fabric, its unified data platform, currently utilized by over 19,000 organizations, including 74% of Fortune 500 companies. At the recent FabCon 2025 conference, Microsoft highlighted enhanced integrations between Fabric data agents and Azure AI Foundry. This upgrade allows AI agents secure access to enterprise data, fostering seamless collaboration.

Microsoft has also expanded Copilot and AI capabilities across all paid Fabric SKUs in response to customer feedback, significantly improving accessibility to these productivity tools.

Competitive Landscape: Microsoft Faces Rivalry in AI

As Microsoft pursues its AI goals, it encounters stiff competition from tech giants such as Alphabet GOOGL’s Google, Nvidia NVDA, and Amazon AMZN. For instance, Google’s Isomorphic Labs recently secured $600 million for AI-driven drug discovery, leveraging its AlphaFold technology. NVIDIA continues to dominate in the industrial AI sector with its Omniverse Blueprint, facilitating the development of complex digital twins for manufacturing processes. Simultaneously, Amazon’s introduction of Nova Act, an AI agent that manages web browsers, has reportedly outperformed OpenAI on internal metrics.

Despite the competitive environment, Microsoft retains advantages through its integrated cloud-AI ecosystem and cross-platform approach. However, the increasing competitive pressure suggests waiting for favorable valuation adjustments may be wise before amplifying stakes in the company. On Wall Street, Microsoft’s trajectory has been complicated. Over the past year, its shares have declined by 10.9%, trailing performance compared to both the broader Zacks Computer & Technology sector and the S&P 500, which yielded returns of 3.8% and 7.7%, respectively.

In the same time frame, shares of Alphabet, Nvidia, and Amazon have outperformed Microsoft, with returns of 0.1%, 20.6%, and 5.3%, respectively.

1-Year Performance

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Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

Investment Considerations

Investors Should Hold Off on Microsoft Stock for Now

Despite Microsoft’s robust expansion in artificial intelligence (AI), its current valuation of 9.21 times forward sales seems to fully reflect the near-term growth potential. This multiple surpasses the Zacks Computer – Software industry average of 7.51 times and approaches Microsoft’s historical median of 10.33 times.

Although MSFT’s long-term AI vision remains enticing, infrastructure constraints may temporarily limit growth acceleration. Therefore, investors should consider waiting for more favorable entry points, possibly during market corrections or following quarterly earnings that might adjust expectations.

MSFT’s P/S F12M Ratio Indicates Valuation Concerns

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Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

Conclusion

For current shareholders, Microsoft’s strong positioning in AI supports maintaining their investments. New investors, however, should remain patient and be ready to take advantage of potential valuation corrections in what is still regarded as one of the top long-term AI investments in technology. Presently, Microsoft holds a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can view the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

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This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).

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The views and opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.


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