The S&P 500 has been soaring to new heights as Wall Street eagerly anticipates the release of quarterly earnings reports from the tech giants, providing crucial insights into the economic landscape, both domestic and global, for the first quarter of 2024.
While concerns have been raised about the market being overly dependent on the remarkable performance of mega-cap tech and the Magnificent 7, it’s heartening to note that the rally is inclusive, with eight out of the 11 S&P 500 sectors showing positive growth over the past 12 months. Furthermore, all sectors except Energy have shown solid gains over the last three months.
As long as Q1 2024 earnings outlook remains strong and inflation stays in check, the bulls are likely to maintain their grip on the market. Additionally, any pullback of the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq to crucial moving averages could prompt a swift buying response, as investors of all stripes seek to avoid missing out on a potential extended rally in 2024.
Despite this optimism, investors must exercise due diligence and seek out stocks with the potential to outperform. Let’s delve into the process of identifying Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) stocks with a proven track record of efficiently generating profits, which could be worthwhile investments in 2024.
Evaluating Efficiency: ROE
Return on Equity (ROE) is a key metric for investors to gauge a company’s ability to generate profits from shareholders’ equity. It measures the capacity of a company to convert assets into earnings, revealing the value creation by management and cost control. A declining ROE can serve as an early warning signal for potential issues.
Finding Top Stocks: Screening Criteria
To identify robustly performing stocks, certain screening parameters are used:
- Zacks Rank equal to 1: This ranking takes into account upward earnings estimate revisions and other metrics to pinpoint companies expected to experience enhanced earnings, historically averaging over 25% annual returns over the past 30 years.
- Price greater than or equal to 5: To minimize volatility and speculation, stocks trading below $5 are excluded.
- Price/Sales Ratio less than or equal to 1: A low price-to-sales ratio, typically 1 or below, is sought as it signifies better value, with investors paying less for each unit of sales.
- % (Broker) Rating Strong Buy equal to 100 (%): Companies with full endorsement from brokers are favored, given the skew towards ‘buy’ and ‘strong buy’ ratings.
- ROE greater than or equal to 10: Companies with a robust Return on Equity of at least 10 are preferred, considering that the median ROE value for all stocks in the Zacks Universe is below 10.
Uncovering Value: Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (ARCO)
Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc., the world’s largest independent McDonald’s (MCD) franchisee, reports an impressive Return on Equity (ROE) rate of 49%, significantly surpassing the 3.3% industry average in Retail – Restaurants. Operating over 2,300 restaurants, Arcos Dorados holds the exclusive rights to own, operate, and franchise McDonald’s outlets across 20 nations in Latin America and the Caribbean. The company also offers a dividend yield of approximately 1.3%.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Arcos Dorados delivered a remarkable 50% beat on our Q3 FY23 earnings estimate in November, bolstered by an optimistic bottom line outlook, securing a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) rating. This recent positive trajectory is part of a sustained pattern of upward earnings revisions over the past two years.