Key Points
Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (NASDAQ: SPCX) debuted on June 12, raising approximately $85 billion at a valuation close to $1.8 trillion, marking one of the largest IPOs by a U.S.-based company. The stock opened at around $150, closing the first trading day at about $161, which is a 19% gain. It subsequently peaked at $229.40, exceeding Microsoft’s market cap, and is currently valued at about $185 with a market cap of $2.43 trillion.
The stock surged due to high demand during the IPO, showcasing a notable revenue growth potential from both its Starlink service and upcoming commercial payload deliveries through its Starship program. However, analysts have raised concerns about its high valuation, trading over 100 times its trailing revenue, and industry experts have estimated the fair value at around $780 billion.
In the coming year, analysts suggest that SpaceX’s market cap could reach $4 trillion if growth trajectories hold, but uncertainties surrounding earnings reports and lockup periods could lead to potential declines of up to 50% from current levels, highlighting a split in opinion on its investment appeal.
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