How SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic Could Impact the Trump Bull Market with a New Regulation

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Key Points

  • The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite have reached new highs, significantly boosted by advancements in artificial intelligence (AI) and record share buybacks.

  • SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic are expected to go public by the end of 2026, potentially joining the $1 trillion valuation club, with SpaceX aiming for a valuation between $1.75 trillion and $2 trillion.

  • A new Nasdaq rule, effective May 1, 2026, allows mega-IPOs to enter the Nasdaq-100 after just 15 trading days, raising concerns over potential market corrections due to historical underperformance of such IPOs.

The S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, and Dow Jones Industrial Average have crossed 7,200, 25,000, and 50,000 points, respectively, marking significant milestones in a year characterized by economic shifts. Tesla’s Elon Musk-led SpaceX has confidentially filed for an initial public offering (IPO) targeting a $75 billion raise, aiming to surpass the record set by Saudi Aramco’s $29.4 billion IPO. Concurrently, AI firms OpenAI and Anthropic are poised to launch IPOs, also anticipated to achieve valuations near $1 trillion each.

The Nasdaq’s new “Fast Entry” rule for large IPOs may influence the market dramatically, permitting rapid inclusion in key indexes, a factor that could lead to stock price volatility. While this step is expected to benefit firms like SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic, historical performance trends suggest potential pitfalls for investors, as many mega-IPOs have struggled post-debut.

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