Impact of a Strengthened Dollar on Coffee Prices

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**Coffee Prices Update: July 2026 Contracts Reflect Mixed Trends**

On April 19, 2023, July arabica coffee (KCN26) closed unchanged, while July ICE robusta coffee (RMN26) declined by 39 points or 1.12%. Coffee prices faced pressure from a stronger dollar, though losses in arabica were mitigated by a two-month low in inventories, which fell to 494,508 bags as reported on April 18.

Concerns regarding potential disruptions in global coffee supplies due to a prolonged US-Iran conflict that may affect the Strait of Hormuz have also influenced prices. Brazilian coffee exports fell significantly in March: green coffee exports dropped 10% year-on-year to 2.65 million bags, with overall exports down by 31% to 151,000 metric tons. Meanwhile, Vietnam’s coffee exports surged, with a 14% year-on-year increase in 2026 coffee exports recorded in early April, further impacting robusta prices.

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