May 5, 2025

Ron Finklestien

JPMorgan Chase & Co. Stock Forecast: Assessing Wall Street’s Sentiment

JPMorgan Chase Outperforming Market with Strong Q1 Results

JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM), headquartered in New York, stands as a prominent player in the financial services industry. The company serves millions, including consumers, small businesses, corporations, institutions, and government entities. With a market capitalization of $702.7 billion, JPMorgan operates in over 100 countries across the Americas, EMEA, and the Indo-Pacific region.

Robust Performance in a Challenging Market

The financial giant has notably outperformed the broader market in the past year. JPM stock has risen by 31.8% over the last 52 weeks, and year-to-date (YTD), it has surged 5.3%. In comparison, the S&P 500 Index ($SPX) recorded a 12.3% increase over the past year but a 3.3% decline YTD.

In a closer comparison, JPM has outshined the Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF), which gained only 23% over the past year and 3% YTD.

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Impressive First Quarter Results

On April 11, following the announcement of its impressive Q1 results, JPMorgan’s stock prices increased by 4%. In the face of macroeconomic turbulence, geopolitical uncertainties, and tariff discussions, JPMorgan displayed strong financial health. The company achieved an 8.1% year-over-year increase in net revenues, reaching $45.3 billion, which surpassed analysts’ expectations. Additionally, JPMorgan reported an 18% return on equity and an earnings per share (EPS) of $5.07—a 14.2% year-over-year rise, exceeding consensus estimates by 9.7%.

Analyst Outlook and Price Target

Looking ahead to FY2025, which ends in December, analysts project a slight growth in EPS to $18.24. Notably, JPMorgan has a strong track record of beating earnings estimates, having exceeded analysts’ projections in the last four quarters.

The overall consensus rating for JPM stock is a “Moderate Buy.” Among 26 analysts, there are 13 “Strong Buys,” three “Moderate Buys,” and 10 “Holds.”

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This outlook appears significantly more positive than two months ago when there was a “Strong Sell” recommendation from one analyst. On April 17, UBS analyst Erika Najarian reiterated a “Buy” rating on JPM and increased the price target to $305. The mean price target stands at $260.12, indicating a modest 3% premium to current levels, while a street-high target of $330 suggests a potential upside of 30.7%.

On the date of publication, Aditya Sarawgi did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is for informational purposes only. For more information, please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.

The views and opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.