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Key Metric Every Palantir Investor Must Monitor

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Palantir Technologies Sees Massive Stock Surge Boosted by AI and Government Contracts

Palantir Technologies(NASDAQ: PLTR) has emerged as one of the top performers in the stock market this year. As of December 26, the data fusion company has surged an impressive 379% year to date. This growth can be attributed to its leadership in artificial intelligence (AI) software, as well as a strong influx of government and commercial contracts.

Continuous Growth Signals Profitability

Palantir has achieved five consecutive quarters of accelerating revenue growth and eight quarters of expanding operating margins. This consistent performance indicates that the company is effectively leveraging its resources. Furthermore, Palantir has attained profitability according to generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) and has been added to the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC).

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Stock Price Surges Amid Rising Expectations

Despite its success, Palantir’s stock price has outpaced the company’s growth, resulting in a steep valuation increase. The stock is currently trading at a high price-to-sales ratio of 75, which means that investors have set very high expectations for its future performance.

In recent weeks, the stock has climbed significantly following a positive third-quarter earnings report and the elections, leading to expectations of increased government spending on defense and intelligence initiatives. Additionally, Palantir’s partnership with defense tech start-up Anduril to bid on defense contracts positions it to compete with established companies such as Lockheed Martin, RTX, and Boeing.

Future Growth Remains Essential for Price Stability

Investor sentiment has helped fuel the stock’s rise, but continuous revenue growth is crucial for maintaining or increasing its valuation. If Palantir’s revenue growth slows to 30% or less, it could take considerable time for the stock price to catch up with its high valuation.

Overall, revenue growth appears to be the key indicator for Palantir’s stock price trajectory. Keeping an eye on this metric will be important as it may influence the stock’s performance in 2025.

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*Stock Advisor returns as of December 23, 2024

Jeremy Bowman has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Palantir Technologies. The Motley Fool also recommends Lockheed Martin and RTX. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

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