Middle East Tensions Drive Crude Oil Prices Higher

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June WTI crude oil (CLM26) rose by $3.18 (+3.12%) to recover from overnight losses, while June RBOB gasoline (RBM26) increased by $0.1323 (+3.68%) amidst escalating tensions in the Strait of Hormuz. The price surge followed claims from Iran’s FARS news agency that missiles hit a U.S. warship, which the U.S. subsequently denied.

On April 13, the U.S. initiated a blockade on vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz, leading to a reduction of approximately 14.5 million barrels per day (bpd) in crude output from the Persian Gulf. The ongoing blockade could escalate global energy shortages, as the strait facilitates about 20% of the world’s oil trade. An estimated 500 million barrels have already been removed from global crude stockpiles, which may reach 1 billion barrels by June.

Recent statements from the UAE indicated a missile threat after Iranian drone attacks sparked a fire at the Fujairah oil industry zone. Meanwhile, OPEC+ announced a modest production increase of 188,000 bpd for June, despite current cuts due to the geopolitical situation.

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