Vail Resorts to Report Q3 Fiscal 2025 Results on June 5
Vail Resorts, Inc. (MTN) will release its third-quarter fiscal 2025 results on June 5, following the market close. In the previous quarter, adjusted earnings exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 4.3%. However, net revenues fell short by 0.1%. Year-over-year, adjusted earnings grew by 13.9%, and net revenues increased by 5.5%.
In the past four quarters, MTN delivered better-than-expected earnings twice and missed two times, averaging a surprise of 0.4%.
Q3 Earnings Revision Trends for MTN
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal Q3 earnings per share has declined to $10 from $10.10 over the past week. The new estimate represents a 4.8% increase from last year’s EPS of $9.54.
For net revenues, the consensus anticipates $1.3 billion, indicating a 1.5% rise from $1.28 billion reported in the same quarter last year.
Vail Resorts’ Price and EPS Performance
Vail Resorts, Inc. price-eps-surprise | Vail Resorts, Inc. Quote
Factors Influencing Q3 Results
The company’s revenue growth is likely driven by the stability of its season pass program, enhanced guest experiences, and effective management of its mountain resorts. Investments include upgrades for lifts, ski and ride school renovations, improved dining options, and real estate development. These factors are expected to contribute to lift ticket revenue increases and growth in ancillary services like ski school and dining.
Predictions indicate that Mountain and Lodging net revenues for the upcoming quarter will grow year over year by 1.5% to $1.21 billion and 17.1% to $101.9 million, respectively. Additionally, net revenues from the Real Estate segment may see a significant increase of 362.4% to $0.8 million.
Looking ahead, Vail Resorts is advancing its two-year resource efficiency transformation plan, which is expected to bolster quarterly outcomes.
This plan targets achieving $100 million in annualized cost savings by fiscal 2026, likely aiding margin stability. Operating margin is projected to expand by 110 basis points to 43.7%, compared to the previous year.
MTN Stock Prediction
MTN appears positioned for an earnings beat, based on our model’s analysis. The company shows a positive earnings ESP of +1.87% and holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold).
Other Stocks Expected to Beat Estimates
Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) shows an earnings ESP of +2.44% and is rated a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy). Analysts expect a 44.5% growth in earnings for Q2 2025.
Carnival Corporation & plc (CCL) has an earnings ESP of +8.42% and a Zacks Rank of 3. The company anticipates a 109.1% increase in Q2 earnings.
Boyd Gaming Corporation (BYD) also has a +3.39% earnings ESP with a Zacks Rank of 3. Expected earnings growth for Q2 2025 is 2.5%.
