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On Friday, December arabica coffee (KCZ25) closed at -7.15 (-1.74%), while November ICE robusta coffee (RMX25) increased by +17 (+0.37%). Previous day trading saw arabica coffee prices fall by -2.54% and robusta by -3.90%, retreating from recent highs.
Brazil’s recent forecast of weekend showers contributed to the decline in arabica prices, while robusta was pressured by expectations of increased supplies from Vietnam, which saw a 10.9% rise in coffee exports year-on-year to 1.230 million metric tons from January to September 2025.
ICE arabica inventories reached a 1.5-year low of 447,773 bags, and robusta inventories fell to a 3-month low of 6,130 lots. Concerns about drought conditions in Brazil could further affect future crops, compounding the impact of a 50% tariff on U.S. imports from Brazil that has tightened supplies.
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