Coffee prices are experiencing downward pressure, with July arabica coffee down 0.65 cents (0.24%) and July ICE robusta coffee down 8 cents (0.24%). This decline follows projections of a substantial increase in Brazil’s coffee crop, expected to reach 71.4 million bags for the 2026/27 season—up 12% year-over-year.
Robusta coffee prices are further impacted by a 15.8% year-over-year rise in Vietnam’s coffee exports during the first four months of 2026, totaling 810,000 metric tons. Additionally, ICE robusta inventories recently hit a two-year low but rebounded to 3,845 lots. In contrast, Brazil’s green coffee exports dropped by 1.3% year-over-year to 2.76 million bags in April. The ongoing closure of the Strait of Hormuz is causing supply disruptions and increasing costs for importers.
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