Roku (NASDAQ: ROKU)
Q4 2023 Earnings Call
Feb 15, 2024, 5:00 p.m. ET
Examination of the Prepared Remarks
This is the story of Roku, a picture of adjustment and foresight. With a dynamic market to conquer and challenges aplenty, the entertainment giant has managed to navigate and flourish amidst a volatile landscape, culminating in an impressive fourth-quarter 2023 earnings report. Grappling with the ever-evolving streaming industry, Roku has made substantial strides in fortifying its market position and expanding its user base. The company’s annual financial call was an opportunity to delve into the narrative behind these impressive numbers and dwell on a vision of continued growth and unblemished potential.
Market Vision: An Unfurls of Strategy and Innovation
The company’s founder and CEO, Anthony Wood, reminisces about the challenges and triumphs of the past year. A tone of pride and calculated ambition laces his words, as he emphasizes the achievement of positive adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow a year ahead of schedule, echoing the company’s unwavering focus on operational enhancements and the exponential growth of platform revenue.
Wood’s discourse divulges Roku’s strategic pivot towards bolstering its position as the definitive home screen program for its colossal 80 million global active accounts, a hub of strategic ad reach and innovative streaming service distribution activities. The company’s brainchild, “Roku City,” is celebrated for its seamless fusion of prominent brand imagery and entertainment promotions, a testament to Roku’s dedication to delighting its users. Wood wields anecdotes of the “Roku sports experience” and curated content such as “all-things food” and “all-things home,” intensely nurturing the engagement of viewers and ushering an era of monetization potential.
Furthermore, Wood presents an enthralling exposition on the burgeoning industry landscape, spotlighting the exponential proliferation of streaming content and a burgeoning focus on building robust and sustainable businesses. This monumental shift is projected to accelerate the migration of ad dollars from traditional TV to streaming, a realm where Roku’s prowess holds the promise of unrivaled prosperity.
Financial Prowess: An Aura of Resilience
Dan Jedda, the company’s CFO, delves into the financial facets, accentuating Roku’s robust growth in active accounts and soaring engagement on its platform. The crescendo of numbers unfurls a tale of triumph, with a staggering 106 billion streaming hours – a record-high – registered in 2023, indicative of Roku’s unfaltering allure in the market.
Jedda delves into the realm of revenue, christening a 14% year-over-year growth that propelled total net revenue to $984 million in Q4. The platform revenue, a vibrant $829 million, blossomed by 13% year over year, fueled by streaming services distribution and video advertising activities, signifying the company’s mettle in the digital advertising realm.
Furthermore, Roku’s Devices revenue surged by 15%, propelled by the launch of Roku-branded TVs in March 2023, paving the way for a diversified revenue stream. Amidst these triumphs, the company’s average revenue per user (ARPU) was a robust $39.92, a testament to its unassailable financial footing in the market.
The stage is thus set for Roku, an epitome of resilience and innovation, poised to harness the streaming frenzy and cement its standing as a paragon of growth and prosperity in the ever-evolving digital entertainment sphere.
Roku Reports Strong Fiscal Performance and Strategic Vision for 2024
Fiscal Overview
Roku recently concluded its Q4 earnings report with a reflective glow of strong performance. The company unveiled a total gross margin of 44%, with the platform gross margin stabilizing at 55%. This remarkable stability comes in the wake of a substantial $62 million restructuring charge related to the removal of select licenses and produced content from the Roku Channel in Q3. Furthermore, Q4 witnessed a significant rise in the devices margin, soaring to -13%, marking an impressive 19-point increase year over year.
Financial Performance
The Q4 adjusted EBITDA of $48 million surpassed expectations by $38 million, propelled by the robust performance of the platform segment and improvements to the operating expense profile. Roku also demonstrated solid free cash flow of $176 million, culminating in an impressive figure of over $2 billion in cash and cash equivalents at the end of the quarter.
Outlook and Growth Strategies
Roku’s outlook for the first quarter is radiant, with anticipated total net revenue of $850 million and gross profit of $370 million. The company also set an ambitious target of achieving breakeven adjusted EBITDA. While Roku remains cautious due to the challenging macro environment and uneven ad market recovery, the company is primed to amplify revenue, drive free cash flow, and ultimately attain profitability over time.
CEO Perspective and Future Endeavors
Anthony Wood, the Founder and Chief Executive Officer, exuded confidence in Roku’s strategic vision for 2024. He emphasized the management team’s pivotal focus on operational efficiency in 2023, leading to the achievement of positive EBITDA for the full year. As the reins of the new year tighten, Wood envisions steering the company towards unfurling a tapestry of innovation and growth.
Roku’s commitment to driving growth encompasses a spectrum of initiatives, with particular emphasis on enhancing the subscription business. Wood eloquently illustrated the company’s endeavor to consolidate activities under one leader, augmenting resources and solidifying Roku’s position in this domain.
Another focal point of Roku’s innovation is the cultivation of real experiences that engage viewers and aid in decision-making while perusing content. Wood provided vivid examples of Roku’s Sports Zone and culinary curation features, highlighting the deep-rooted strategy to captivate and retain viewer engagement.
Strategic Vision
Wood also elucidated on the evolving landscape of the streaming industry, signaling a shift towards sustainable business models and the increasing prominence of ad-supported tiers. He emphasized that industry trends were indicative of a maturing streaming sphere, with the adoption of entry-level ad-supported tiers emerging as a pivotal tool for sustainable business growth.
Roku’s focus on innovation and growth illustrates the company’s proactive stance in shaping the burgeoning streaming landscape. As the company pivots to balance profitability and reinvestment, the market eagerly anticipates witnessing the fruits of Roku’s strategic endeavors in the coming year.
Roku’s Maturation Signals Encouraging Shift in the Streaming Industry
The streaming industry appears to be hitting a stride of maturity, as suggested by Anthony Wood, the Founder and Chief Executive Officer of Roku. Wood expressed optimism during a recent Q4 earnings call, pointing to key indicators such as the widening availability of sports content on streaming, the rise of ad-supported streaming tiers, and a notable disparity between TV viewing hours and ad spend. The shift towards maturity in the streaming industry holds implications for the future of ad dollars and cord-cutting trends.
Streaming Landscape Matures with Growing Sports Content
Wood underscored the burgeoning accessibility of sports content via streaming platforms, marking a departure from the past when such content remained tethered to traditional pay TV subscriptions. While acknowledging the fragmented nature of sports content distribution across various streaming channels, Wood emphasized the potential inherent in this development, framing it as an opportunity for Roku.
Referring to the industry’s gradual maturation, Wood linked this trend to the emergence of additional sports content on streaming platforms and the growing prominence of ad-supported video on demand (AVOD) tiers. This shift, he posited, is poised to expedite cord-cutting while propelling ad dollars towards streaming platforms.
Roku’s Role in Driving Ad-Supported Engagement
Charlie Collier, President of Roku Media, reinforced Wood’s perspective, highlighting the company’s strength and positioning in promoting engagement across its platform. Collier emphasized the correlation between engagement and revenue, particularly in the context of ad-supported content, and outlined Roku’s strategic advantage in driving ad-supported engagement. The company’s proactive efforts, he assured, are expected to translate into robust business growth in this domain.
Strategic Partnerships and Market Expansion
Reflecting on the company’s progress with third-party partnerships, Collier emphasized the focus on diversifying demand and expanding Roku’s partner businesses. He detailed the headway made in strengthening relationships with third-party platforms, bolstering programmatic ad spend, and broadening the roster of advertisers. Collier emphasized the facilitation of access to the Roku platform for small and medium-sized businesses, projecting future potential for these partnerships to burgeon into significant revenue streams for Roku.
Financial Insights and Growth Projections
Chief Financial Officer Dan Jedda shed light on the financial landscape, citing the impressive performance of the streaming services distribution and the resurgence of video advertising in the latter half of 2023. He acknowledged the persistent challenges in the media and entertainment (M&E) markets and offered insights into the factors influencing margin expansion, including guidance on platform margin and operating expenses. Jedda also outlined expectations for improved gross margins and affirmed the company’s focus on reinvesting in various monetization initiatives, particularly within the subscriptions business.
As the streaming industry evolves, Roku appears poised to leverage these shifts to its advantage, with an eye on driving both engagement and revenue across its platform. The company’s strategic partnerships and financial prudence position it well to navigate the maturing streaming landscape and capitalize on the evolving dynamics of ad-supported content and sports distribution.
Roku’s Strong Position in the Ad Market and Expansion of TV Line
Shweta Khajuria — Evercore ISI — Analyst
OK. Thanks a lot for taking my questions. Let me try two, please. One is on just the overall ad demand trends that you saw in Q4 and into Q1 so far. And specifically, as it relates to certain key verticals that you could comment on or just the scatter market health and the caution or the lack of among — or the improvement of sentiment among brand advertisers. That’s question one. And just a quick follow-up on how should we be thinking about political impact this year for you. Thank you.
Roku’s Strong Position in the Ad Market
Charlie Collier — President, Roku Media
We continue to see a solid rebound in video advertising in the fourth quarter. Video advertising has strengthened, offsetting the challenging M&E marketplace. It remains a significant category for Roku, and we are a unique and effective platform for driving engagement for our partners. As the engagement grows, so will we. The M&E category went through a period of high spending and we are now working with our partners to help them transition to a greater ad-supported focus for success. Overall, categories like CPG, health and wellness, and telecom are growing nicely, whereas financial services and insurance are not recovering as quickly. We expect the year-on-year growth rate of video advertising in the first quarter to be similar to what we saw in the fourth quarter.
Political Impact and Growth Strategy
According to Anthony, political advertising is growing at Roku due to its strategic platform for political ads. However, it is expected to remain a relatively small contributor to the overall ad mix at Roku. Nevertheless, they anticipate growth in this area over time. Despite the challenges in the M&E sector, Roku sees this as a significant opportunity and is leveraging new inventory for brand advertisers, diversifying their advertising offerings.
Expansion of Roku-branded TVs and Business Strategy
Mustafa Ozgen — President, Devices
Roku-branded TVs complement Roku’s existing TV program, allowing for more innovation in the hardware-software combination. Roku is expanding distribution due to positive customer feedback and plans to use the feedback to further improve and add new capabilities to the product, which will benefit their TV ecosystem partners.
Roku’s Strong Foundation Evident in Investor Conference Call
Strategic Focus on User Engagement
During the Q&A session of the recent investor conference call, the management of Roku, led by Founder and CEO Anthony Wood and President of Roku Media, Charlie Collier, delved into critical strategies for enhancing the user experience, particularly with a focus on the homepage, in the forthcoming year. The fusion of engaging content and monetization opportunities formed the crux of their plans, with emphasized ambitions to broaden viewer engagement across the platform.
Innovative Pricing Strategies and Market Positioning
Additionally, questions pertaining to the pricing of scatter inventory, Roku’s pricing logic relative to competition within the AVOD space, and the impact of pricing on advertiser decision-making revealed the deliberations on pricing and market positioning. Charlie Collier demonstrated confidence in their approach, particularly with sponsorships, as he attributed the growing pricing to the scarcity of these integrations, which not only entice new advertisers but also encourage bidding, thus enhancing pricing dynamics.
Solid Retail Relationship Amidst Industry Speculations
Furthermore, amidst industry speculations stemming from a certain media report, Anthony Wood defensively addressed concerns regarding Roku’s relationship with Walmart, reiterating the company’s position as an industry leader with a growing base of active accounts that cherish their products and brand.
In a nuanced response to the question of enhancing the user interface, Anthony Wood expressed the fervent intention to capitalize on the positive reception received for certain experiences introduced in 2023, showcasing the company’s eagerness to continuously evolve and adapt to consumer preferences. The management’s incremental approach towards incorporating video content on the homepage was indicative of a cautious yet adaptive strategy, safeguarding against alienating certain viewers while still aiming to allure others.
Charlie Collier, in his responses, underscored the importance of scarcity in driving pricing and elucidated on the company’s unique positioning as a performance platform, offering both competitive pricing and effective results, thereby instilling confidence in advertisers to opt for Roku’s offerings.
As the call drew to a close, the discussions alluded to the significant strides that Roku has made in securing its market position, propelling the investment community to remain watchful of its steady growth and unwavering fundamentals. Their focus on user engagement and innovative pricing strategies, complemented by a robust retail relationship, bodes well for Roku’s standing in the competitive streaming landscape.
Overall, the exchange between management and analysts during the conference call underscored Roku’s strategic vision, adaptability, and astute market positioning as it continues to navigate the burgeoning streaming industry. Such deliberations reinforce Roku’s place as a stalwart in the evolving media landscape, fostering optimism among investors and industry observers.
Roku’s Dominance Continues Unabated
Roku has been a dominant force, clinching the No. 1 spot as the best-selling TV OS in the US for five consecutive years. Boasting a staggering 50% installation rate in American broadband households and a notable global presence, Roku has cemented its standing as an industry leader. The company’s robust retail ties, particularly its fruitful association with Walmart, have catalyzed its strong distribution channels, both within and outside the United States. As a cherry atop the sundae, Roku proudly possesses a vast, highly engaged customer base, resonating deeply with its brand and actively seeking out their products.
Analysts Inquiring About Media and Entertainment Spend
As the company registers an impressive addition of 10 million net active accounts in the preceding year, investors and analysts have been keen to grasp the future trajectory. Stephens, Inc. Analyst, Nicholas Zangler, steered the discussion toward Roku’s media and entertainment (M&E) spend in the second half of 2024. Highlighting potential market adjustments to alleviate the declining trend, Zangler probed for insights into a plausible positive shift.
Insightful Replies from Roku’s Key Figures
Roku’s responses, conveyed by the company’s Founder and CEO, Anthony Wood, and President of Roku Media, Charlie Collier, carried an aura of optimism. Collier emphasized the importance of guiding M&E companies towards elevated engagement, offering a noticeable glint of hope for a rebound in the latter half of 2024. Wood echoed this sentiment, drawing emphasis to the temporary pressure surrounding M&E spending while conveying strong platform revenue growth and the consequent industry outperformance of video ads on Roku’s platform.
Clarifying Aspirations and Metrics
As Citi Analyst, Jason Bazinet, directed the conversation towards Roku’s aspirations and current focal points, CEO Anthony Wood shed light on the company’s strategic approach. Wood underscored Roku’s renewed focus on driving monetization growth and a reinvigoration of platform growth rates, marking a pivotal milestone in their pursuit of sustained success. The emphasis on absolute free cash flow and per share indicators depicted the company’s keen financial acumen and commitment to long-term value creation.
Unwavering Focus on Fundamental Drivers
President of Roku Media, Charlie Collier, aligning seamlessly with Wood’s views, stressed the centrality of fundamental drivers in propelling increased platform revenue growth. The conversation culminated with a sense of purpose and clarity, showcasing the depth of Roku’s strategic vision and laser-sharp focus on organic growth.
As the curtain fell on the insightful deliberations, analysts Barton Crockett from Rosenblatt Securities and Jason Bazinet from Citi expressed their gratitude, encapsulating the enriching dialogue that underscored Roku’s unwavering drive for sustained excellence and groundbreaking innovation.
Roku’s Triumph on the Global Stage
Anthony Wood — Founder and Chief Executive Officer
Hey, Barton, this is Anthony for some high-level thoughts on international, and then Dan has some thoughts. Just in general, I think overall, we’re pleased with our progress internationally. We’re the No. 1 in Mexico, as well as the US. We’re doing extremely well in Canada. We’re doing well in all of Latin America. We’re making great progress in Brazil. So, we don’t break out our active accounts by region, but a lot of them are international at this point. We’re making good progress. We’re also doing well in the UK. So, Dan, did you want to add something about —
Dan Jedda — Chief Financial Officer
Yeah, I’ll just comment. I just think it’s important to note that as we talk about the 80 million actives, we are growing in both the US and international. And well, international, of course, just given the maturity of the markets are growing faster. The US continues to grow very well for us on net new accounts. And as part of that, a significant part of that those 10 million ads that we have. And we expect both markets, both our international and our US to continue to grow on actives. One comment, just as it relates to the platform revenue and ARPU, we’ve talked — we stated our ARPU was down 4% due to the fact that international is growing so fast. And that is true. But in the US, we are actually seeing ARPU flat to up. We don’t break it out, but we are seeing year-over-year growth rates in ARPU, and it’s really mixed. It’s all mix that’s causing that slight contraction in ARPU. So, it just shows you — and then we’re at a different stage, obviously, in the monetization of our international accounts. But those will monetize over time. We’re in that scale that scale phase, that engagement phase in that monetization base depending on the international markets. But we feel very good about the growth rate of both the US and international.
Anthony Wood — Founder and Chief Executive Officer
And this is Anthony again. Just on your question about market share and it’s been steady or up or down in US Well, I’ll just take that question. So, globally, if you look at regions outside the US, let’s say, outside the US and Canada, which are more mature for us. you’ve seen strong and steady upward trends of market share growth rates. In the US, also, we launched Roku TV 10 years ago, and since that launch, we’ve seen steady increases in market share growth rate. We’ve seen our bounces around quarter to quarter. Sometimes it goes up, sometimes it goes down. But in general, on average, has been going up steadily since we launched Roku TV. And I actually think there’s still quite a bit of room to grow our market share even in the United States because there will continue to be consolidation. There’s a lot of TV OS sold that run on proprietary TV OS, and I’ve always said and still believe strongly that we’re going to see consolidation to a small number of licensed TV OS they just have bigger economies of scale. They just have a big head start in terms of user experience with a leading licensed TV OS, and we expect to be a beneficiary of that. So, I think that sort of the trends in market share for TVs are in our favor. In the United States, I expect over time the growth rates to continue to climb, although like I said, they do bounce around quarter to quarter.
Barton Crockett — Rosenblatt Securities — Analyst
OK. Thank you very much.
Jason Helfstein — Oppenheimer and Company — Analyst
Thank you for getting me in there. So, two questions. Do you expect media and entertainment revenue to start growing again in the second quarter? And then on the 3P ad platforms, you gave obviously some color on the note, and there’s been questions or comments, questions about that. But what would it take to see a material increase in participation from major DSPs such as Trade Desk and DV360 in your ecosystem back?
Anthony Wood — Founder and Chief Executive Officer
Jason, this is Anthony. So, I think Dan will take that first question, and then Charlie can talk about DSP.
Dan Jedda — Chief Financial Officer
Sure. We talked about M&E and that we do think it was a challenge in ’23, and we’ll be challenged going forward. And we’re not — I’m not going to break out what the growth rates that we’re expecting of M&E. And we do think it could grow year over year, but it’s going to be growing less than our overall platform business most likely, and that’s what we’re anticipating. And that’s all the work that Charlie is doing on diversification and what he talked about is what we’re focused on. But we’ll update you more on M&E as we get into the second half of Q2 and in H2. But we’re actually not — we don’t break that specific activity in our advertising business.
Charlie Collier — President, Roku Media
Thank you, Jason, I like the way we say we have one more question. So, you have two questions. That’s good. And I’ll take the second one on DSPs. We are now actually in relationships with all the major DSPs and SSPs. And the way I look at it is this, we went and prioritized demand diversification. And we’ve done a good job because we’re balancing the direct relationships we have, some of whom wish to execute their transactions on the DSPs. And then there is the opening up of demand to smaller accounts that has really grown in the thousands for us, and a lot of those smaller accounts will become bigger and bigger over time. So, we’ve built those relationships. I feel good about the growth both in dollars and active accounts. And then I think you’ll see the small and medium-sized business, it’s really have good results and become medium- and large-sized businesses. But we think the strategy is solid and that we’re executing well.
Jason Helfstein — Oppenheimer and Company — Analyst
Thank you.
Operator
Thank you. And with that, ladies and gentlemen, we conclude the Q&A session. I will turn it back to Anthony Wood for final comments.
Anthony Wood — Founder and Chief Executive Officer
Thank you. Thank you, everyone, for joining. And thanks to our employees, customers, content partners, and advertisers. I look forward to an exciting year of TV streaming.
Operator
[Operator signoff]
Duration: 0 minutes
Call participants:
Conrad Grodd — Vice President, Investor Relations
Anthony Wood — Founder and Chief Executive Officer
Dan Jedda — Chief Financial Officer
Shyam Patil — Susquehanna International Group — Analyst
Justin Patterson — KeyBanc Capital Markets — Analyst
Charlie Collier — President, Roku Media
Shweta Khajuria — Evercore ISI — Analyst
Laura Martin — Needham and Company — Analyst
Mustafa Ozgen — President, Devices
Vasily Karasyov — Cannonball Research — Analyst
Nicholas Zangler — Stephens, Inc. — Analyst
Jason Bazinet — Citi — Analyst
Barton Crockett — Rosenblatt Securities — Analyst
Jason Helfstein — Oppenheimer and Company — Analyst
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