HomeMarket NewsSurprising Analyst 12-Month Target For MDY

Surprising Analyst 12-Month Target For MDY

Actionable Trade Ideas

always free

Looking at the underlying holdings of the ETFs in our coverage universe at ETF Channel, we have compared the trading price of each holding against the average analyst 12-month forward target price, and computed the weighted average implied analyst target price for the ETF itself. For the SPDR S&P MIDCAP 400 ETF Trust ETF (Symbol: MDY), we found that the implied analyst target price for the ETF based upon its underlying holdings is $603.44 per unit.

With MDY trading at a recent price near $546.83 per unit, that means that analysts see 10.35% upside for this ETF looking through to the average analyst targets of the underlying holdings. Three of MDY’s underlying holdings with notable upside to their analyst target prices are PotlatchDeltic Corp (Symbol: PCH), PNM Resources Inc (Symbol: PNM), and Lumentum Holdings Inc (Symbol: LITE). Although PCH has traded at a recent price of $43.67/share, the average analyst target is 19.46% higher at $52.17/share. Similarly, PNM has 17.09% upside from the recent share price of $37.70 if the average analyst target price of $44.14/share is reached, and analysts on average are expecting LITE to reach a target price of $53.27/share, which is 17.09% above the recent price of $45.49. Below is a twelve month price history chart comparing the stock performance of PCH, PNM, and LITE:

PCH, PNM, and LITE Relative Performance Chart

Below is a summary table of the current analyst target prices discussed above:

Name Symbol Recent Price Avg. Analyst 12-Mo. Target % Upside to Target
SPDR S&P MIDCAP 400 ETF Trust ETF MDY $546.83 $603.44 10.35%
PotlatchDeltic Corp PCH $43.67 $52.17 19.46%
PNM Resources Inc PNM $37.70 $44.14 17.09%
Lumentum Holdings Inc LITE $45.49 $53.27 17.09%

Are analysts justified in these targets, or overly optimistic about where these stocks will be trading 12 months from now? Do the analysts have a valid justification for their targets, or are they behind the curve on recent company and industry developments? A high price target relative to a stock’s trading price can reflect optimism about the future, but can also be a precursor to target price downgrades if the targets were a relic of the past. These are questions that require further investor research.

nslideshow 10 ETFs With Most Upside To Analyst Targets Β»

Also see:

Β• High Dividend Stocks
Β• LOPE Price Target
Β• THBR YTD Return

The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

Swing Trading Ideas and Market Commentary

Need some new swing ideas? Get free weekly swing ideas and market commentary from Jonathan Bernstein here: Swing Trading.

Explore More

Weekly In-Depth Market Analysis and Actionable Trade Ideas

Get institutional-level analysis and trade ideas to take your trading to the next level, sign up for free and become apart of the community.