Taiwan Semiconductor Stock Up 20% This Year: Should You Hold or Cash In?

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Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) has reported a year-to-date (YTD) gain of 20.5%, significantly outperforming the Zacks Computer and Technology sector, which has seen a decline of 1.8%. As a major player in the semiconductor industry, TSMC’s performance is bolstered by its dominance in the AI chip market, with revenues for high-performance computing projected to rise from 51% to 58% of total revenues by 2025.

In the financial cycle for 2025, TSMC’s revenues surged 35.9% to $122.42 billion, while earnings per share climbed 51.3% to $10.65. The company anticipates a further revenue increase of around 30% in 2026, with Zacks Consensus Estimates placing total revenues at approximately $160.67 billion. To meet rising demand, TSMC plans to invest between $52 billion and $56 billion in capital expenditures by 2026.

Despite its strong performance, TSMC faces near-term challenges, including softness in key markets like PCs and smartphones, and geopolitical tensions that could impact supply chains. The ongoing geopolitical landscape—particularly U.S.-China relations—may pose risks, as over 95% of Taiwan’s energy is imported, making it vulnerable to disruptions.

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