Tesla’s Upcoming Fourth-Quarter Deliveries: Low Numbers Anticipated, But Investor Sentiment Remains Strong

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Tesla Q3 Deliveries Surge, but Q4 Risks Loom

Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) reported a year-over-year increase of 7% in vehicle deliveries during Q3, totaling 497,088 units, despite a production of 447,450 vehicles. This surge was largely driven by a last-minute demand pull-forward as buyers rushed to secure electric vehicles before the expiration of a federal clean-vehicle credit on September 30, 2025. However, analysts anticipate a downturn in Q4 due to the likelihood of diminished demand and inventory drawdown.

As the company prepares to release its fourth-quarter delivery numbers around January 2 or 3, 2024, investors are advised to look beyond short-term results. Tesla CFO Vaibhav Taneja noted potential catalysts for growth, including advancements in supervised and unsupervised full self-driving technology, which could positively impact demand by 2026. The current market valuation, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 310, underscores the urgency for Tesla to meet its growth aspirations amidst these uncertainties.

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