After revealing strong fiscal second-quarter results on Thursday, investors might be contemplating whether it’s the opportune moment to grab a slice of Lamb Weston’s stock. The company, in recent years, has garnered considerable attention on Wall Street, analogous to the recognition earned by other leading consumer food companies such as General Mills and Hormel Foods.
The reigning monarch of frozen potato products in North America, Lamb Weston retains a formidable global footprint. Let’s evaluate whether the time is ripe for investors to consider acquisition of its stock following an exceptional performance in Q2.
Quarterly Performance & Notable Developments
Lamb Weston CEO Tom Werner hailed the company’s robust financial performance, underscored by efficient operations across customer channels in North America and major international markets. This success was attributed to strategic pricing initiatives driven by inflation, enhancements in customer and product mix, and cost-saving measures in the supply chain.
The company’s net sales surged by 36% year-over-year to $1.73 billion, surpassing the Zacks consensus by 2%. Furthermore, adjusted net income soared by 17% year-over-year to $212 million, with earnings per share witnessing a 13% uptick to $1.45, surpassing expectations by 3%. The quarter also saw Lamb Weston repurchasing $50 million of its common stock and boosting its quarterly dividend by 29% to $0.36 per share.
Looking ahead to fiscal 2024, Lamb Weston has upgraded its adjusted net income projection from $805-$875 million to $830-$900 million, translating to $5.50-$5.95 a share to $5.70-$6.15 per share. The company maintained its net sales goal of $6.8-$7 billion and adjusted EBITDA target of $1.54-$1.62 billion.
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Growth Trajectory & Future Expectations
Based on Zacks estimates, Lamb Weston’s annual earnings are projected to surge by 25% in fiscal 2024 to $5.84 per share from $4.68 a share in 2023. Moreover, total sales are anticipated to climb by 28% this year to $6.85 billion compared to $5.35 billion in the prior year. In fiscal 2025, sales are predicted to edge up by 5% to over $7.1 billion.
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Market Performance
While several consumer food stocks have suffered setbacks over the past year, Lamb Weston’s stock has flourished, surging by a commendable +10% to outstrip the Zacks Food-Miscellaneous Markets’ -6%, and significantly surpassing the -22% and -30% plunges of General Mills and Hormel Foods, respectively. Over the last three years, Lamb Weston’s stock has soared by +40%, outshining the S&P 500’s +26%, and eclipsing its Zacks Subindustry’s -2%, General Mills’ +12%, and Hormel Foods’ -29%.
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Final Thoughts
Lamb Weston’s stock currently holds a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). Despite this, the company’s enhanced EPS guidance could potentially trigger a surge in annual earnings estimates in the upcoming weeks, possibly paving the way for a buy rating as Lamb Weston’s prospects appear even more promising following its Q2 report.
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Lamb Weston (LW): Free Stock Analysis Report
General Mills, Inc. (GIS): Free Stock Analysis Report
Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL): Free Stock Analysis Report
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