Trump’s Potential Triumph: Impact on the Stock Market Trump’s Potential Triumph: Impact on the Stock Market

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A few days ago, we discussed several stocks that could benefit from a Biden economic boom if he wins reelection in 2024. However, today I want to consider an alternative scenario – a triumph from former president Donald Trump. Given Trump’s resurgence in recent polls, I believe this outcome may be more probable than many think.

While the Biden administration has overseen a robust economic recovery from the pandemic, many middle- and working-class families continue to struggle with inflation and rising costs of living. Recent foreign policy challenges have also dragged down Biden’s approval ratings, raising electability concerns due to his age. With less than a year until the 2024 election, the race remains fluid. But if you think Trump could pull off a comeback victory, certain stocks are worth considering. Let’s dive in!

The Impact on Law and Order: Axon Enterprise (AXON)

Person holding mobile phone with logo of American weapon manufacturer Axon Enterprise Inc. on screen in front of webpage. Focus on cellphone display. Unmodified photo.

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Axon Enterprise (NASDAQ:AXON) is a company developing technology and weapons products for military, law enforcement, and civilian use. Indeed, I think this is among the best-positioned companies to benefit from Trump’s policies, should he triumph in 2024.

Trump has repeatedly vowed to crack down on crime, secure the southern border, and support domestic police departments. He is also likely to increase military spending substantially. This all bodes very well with respect to demand growth for Axon’s suite of body cameras, digital evidence management platforms, and non-lethal weapons.

Recently, Axon made a savvy move to acquire Fusus, providing real-time operations software to grow the company’s total addressable market by $20 billion. The new Axon Body Workforce product line also cleverly expands Axon’s reach into commercial sectors like retail and healthcare. Under a second Trump term, I would expect significant tailwinds for both Axon’s public sector and private sector business segments.

The company is already executing tremendously well. Axon’s Q3 sales grew 33% and its profitability is stellar. Thus, I believe AXON stock deserves the premium it trades at, given its prospective growth prospects.

The Energy Sector Rally: Baker Hughes (BKR)

The Baker Hughes (BKR) sign and office building in Houston, Texas.

Source: JHVEPhoto / Shutterstock.com

Baker Hughes (NASDAQ:BKR) is poised to benefit immensely from a Trump-led ‘America First’ agenda in the Oval Office.

Trump has repeatedly promised to unleash America’s “drill, baby, drill” energy production potential. He is likely to reduce regulations substantially for domestic oil and gas producers, while expediting LNG export projects globally. This should translate into a surge of new business for Baker Hughes.

While BKR stock has struggled amid concerns over a growth slowdown, a second Trump term could profoundly change the company’s trajectory. In the company’s core Oil Field Services and Equipment segment, Baker Hughes still managed to grow 2023 revenues by 16%, while growing its operating margins by an impressive 80 basis points.

Thus, Baker Hughes’ outlook remains cautiously optimistic. Under a Trump administration (likely unwilling to beg OPEC for more oil abroad but rather maximize our domestic production), Baker Hughes is sure to see accelerating order growth both onshore and offshore. Its LNG capabilities will also be in high demand. trading at a reasonable forward price-earnings ratio of 14-times, Baker Hughes seems like a value stock ready to erupt. If Trump brings a driller’s mentality back to the White House, few companies offer more upside than Baker Hughes right now.

The Financial Sector Jewel: JPMorgan Chase (JPM)

A sign for JP Morgan Chase & Co (JPM).

Source: Bjorn Bakstad / Shutterstock.com

As one of the largest and most influential global banks, JPMorgan Chase (NYSE:JPM) should perform well no matter who occupies the Oval Office. But a Trump triumph in 2024 could provide particularly positive catalysts for the mega bank.





Financial News

Financial Insights: Trump’s Influence on JPMorgan, Rumble, Borr Drilling, and Seadrill

Rumble (RUM)

In this photo illustration, a woman holds a smartphone with the Rumble logo displayed on the screen. RUM stock

Source: rafapress / Shutterstock.com

A right-leaning video platform competing with the likes of YouTube, Rumble (NASDAQ:RUM) has seen tremendous growth since Trump joined the platform after post-bans from other mainstream social media sites. The company’s stock price reflects enthusiasm around another Trump presidential term, surging 75% year-to-date.

If Trump wins again, Rumble should continue benefiting from expanded brand awareness and user growth as it becomes the go-to video site for conservative voices. Trump would also likely pursue policies aimed at limiting the power of other big tech companies, creating an opening for Rumble to gain market share. While profitability remains elusive for now, Rumble’s revenue growth rate has remained at triple-digit levels, as user engagement booms.

With $267 million in cash and almost no debt, Rumble has years of runway to grow into its valuation. I’ll admit the company’s current valuation gives me a little vertigo. But in a scenario where Trump returns and his supporters flock to Rumble en masse heading into the 2024 election, speculative upside still exists here. This could become the platform of choice for an entire political movement.

Borr Drilling (BORR)

Rise in gasoline prices concept with double exposure of digital screen with financial chart graphs and oil pumps on a field. Oil prices and oil price predictions

Source: Golden Dayz / Shutterstock.com

As an offshore driller operating specialized modern jack-up rigs, Borr Drilling (NYSE:BORR) would find smooth sailing under a second Trump term. With Trump promising to unleash domestic oil production, roll back regulations, and rehabilitate the wider fossil fuel industry, offshore drilling companies like Borr should have ample growth opportunities.

The company’s utilization rates already stand at 94% with full order books, as offshore drilling capacity remains scarce. Additionally, Borr has locked in future contracts at highly-favorable day rates as well, with upward rate momentum seeming likely to persist. Even if rates plateau, Borr is set to generate over $500 million of 2024 EBITDA, allowing for rapid de-leveraging and a continuation of capital return to shareholders. Notably, Borr also secured $82 million for three additional jack-up rigs, signaling more growth could be on the horizon.

That said, BORR stock trades at just 8-times 2024 estimated earnings, while analysts forecast ~30% revenue growth ahead. That’s too cheap for a quality name like this.

Seadrill (SDRL)

Rise in gasoline prices concept with double exposure of digital screen with financial chart graphs and oil pumps on a field. Oil prices and oil price predictions

Source: Golden Dayz / Shutterstock.com








Opportunities & Optimism in Trump Era – Investment Outlook

Opportunities & Optimism in Trump Era: Investment Outlook

Panorama of Oil and Gas central processing platform in twilight, offshore hard work occupation twenty four working hours. Best oil stocks to buy

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Seadrill: Riding the Wave of Optimism

Seadrill (NYSE:SDRL), a premier offshore driller, is poised for prosperity under a Trump administration bullish on resurrecting domestic oil production. A winning streak with a Brazilian giant, securing $1.1 billion in new contracts, positions the company favorably for potential growth in domestic operations. Anticipated recovery in earnings per share paves the way for an optimistic future under a Trump victory. The company’s clean balance sheet and substantial share buybacks serve as strong incentives for investors to put capital to work in this promising venture. Seadrill’s stock, currently trading at bargain levels relative to its potential earnings power, presents an appealing risk/reward scenario for shareholders in the face of commodity volatility.

2022 Ford (F stock) F-150 Lightning Lariat

Source: Ford

Ford: Accelerated Revival on the Horizon

Ford (NYSE:F), an iconic American automaker, stands ready for resurgence under a Trump presidency. With policies likely to be less adversarial to internal combustion engine makers, Ford can anticipate a more level playing field to compete with pure-play EV manufacturers. Substantial recovery in core operations, coupled with expected long-term earnings per share growth, places Ford in an undervalued position in the current market. The company’s reassessment of its aggressive EV push to avoid overextension of the balance sheet reflects prudent decision-making. Embracing an industry-agnostic policy preference of the Trump administration may fuel a remarkable comeback for Ford. Trading at just 7-times 2024 earnings, Ford presents an enticing opportunity for investors as positive catalysts continue to emerge.

On the date of publication, Omor Ibne Ehsan did not hold (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.

Omor Ibne Ehsan is a writer at InvestorPlace. He is a self-taught investor with a focus on growth and cyclical stocks that have strong fundamentals, value, and long-term potential. He also has an interest in high-risk, high-reward investments such as cryptocurrencies and penny stocks. You can follow him on LinkedIn.


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