TSM’s AI Expansion: Can Sales Growth Exceed 30% by FY26?

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Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) reported a 40.6% year-over-year revenue increase in Q1 2026, reaching $35.9 billion, driven primarily by high-performance computing, which contributed 61% of total revenues. TSMC forecasted revenues to grow over 30% in 2026, with a second-quarter guidance of $39-$40.2 billion, indicating sustained growth. The company’s advanced manufacturing technologies, including 3nm and 5nm nodes, comprised nearly 75% of wafer sales, highlighting the rising demand for AI-related chips.

To support this demand, TSMC is expanding its global footprint, investing $165 billion in five fabrication facilities and two packaging facilities in Arizona, while also enhancing operations in Germany, Japan, and Taiwan. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for TSMC’s 2026 revenues stands at $160.67 billion, reflecting a 31.2% increase from the previous year.

In addition to TSMC, other competitors like Intel Corporation and GlobalFoundries Inc. are ramping up their investments in AI chip manufacturing, with Intel focusing on its advanced 18A process and GlobalFoundries expanding capacity to cater to edge computing demands.

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