TradeSmith CEO Keith Kaplan highlighted the significance of recognizing seasonal market cycles during his recent Prediction 2026 event. Using historical data, Kaplan’s team identified “green zones”—periods when specific stocks have historically shown strong returns. The tool allows for analysis of 5,000 stocks with seasonal patterns that have proven reliable across diverse market conditions, boasting an impressive 83% trade accuracy rate.
Key findings from the TradeSmith Seasonality tool indicate that the S&P 500 typically sees positive movement in late January, April, and October, with the most significant gains noted from June 29 to July 21—recording positive returns in each of the last 15 years, averaging 3.2%. Individual stocks, like Tesla, show notable green zones with historical gains of 7.8% and 12.7% during specific windows, illustrating the importance of precise timing in investing.
Kaplan’s analysis, derived from over 2.2 quintillion data points, reveals that effectively leveraging seasonal patterns can yield returns more than double that of the broader market over the past 18 years. Investors are advised to prepare for key dates, particularly January 28, which may present significant trading opportunities.
