What to Expect from Casey’s Stock Ahead of Its Earnings Report

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Casey’s General Stores (NASDAQ: CASY) is set to report its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings on June 9, 2025. Analysts expect earnings of $1.95 per share on $3.95 billion in revenue, marking a 17% year-over-year drop in earnings and a 10% increase in sales from last year’s figures of $2.35 per share and $3.60 billion in revenue. Historically, the stock has declined 65% of the time following earnings releases, with a median one-day drop of 2.9%.

In the third quarter, Casey’s reported an 11% year-over-year increase in EBITDA, with an operationally profitable revenue of $16 billion over the last 12 months and an operating profit of $768 million. The company’s current market capitalization stands at $17 billion.

Over the past five years, Casey’s has recorded 20 earnings data points, with 7 positive and 13 negative one-day returns, yielding a positive return rate of 35%. In the last three years, this percentage increases to 50%, indicating a changing trend in post-earnings stock reactions.

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