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Emerson Electric: Analyst Projections and Recommendations

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Emerson Electric Co. Faces Mixed Market Performance Amid Positive Earnings

Saint Louis, Missouri-based Emerson Electric Co. (EMR) has established itself as a premier technology and engineering firm, active in the industrial, commercial, and consumer sectors. With a market capitalization of $67.4 billion, it specializes in automation, control systems, and asset optimization solutions, aiming to boost operational efficiency, sustainability, and safety across various industries.

Stock Performance Lagging Behind Major Indices

Over the past 52 weeks, Emerson’s shares have struggled compared to broader markets. EMR has increased by 27.9%, whereas the S&P 500 Index ($SPX) gained 32.7%. In 2024, EMR’s stock rose by 20.9%, slightly behind SPX’s 21.2% year-to-date return.

Comparison with Industry Peers

When compared to the Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund’s (XLI) impressive 34% gain over the last year, Emerson has also underperformed. However, EMR did manage to slightly outpace XLI, which saw a 19.4% increase so far this year.

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Strong Earnings Report Sparks Stock Surge

On November 5, shares of Emerson jumped 7.2% following an exemplary performance in its Q4 fiscal 2024 results. The company reported adjusted earnings of $1.48 per share, exceeding analyst expectations, while net sales reached $4.6 billion, driven primarily by the Intelligent Devices segment. Notably, the Software and Control Automation Solutions segment experienced a remarkable growth of 41% year-over-year, contributing to the positive market reaction. Investors also responded favorably to Emerson’s guidance for fiscal 2025, which predicts net sales growth of 3.5% – 5.5% and adjusted earnings per share between $5.85 and $6.05.

Analysts Optimistic About Future Growth

Looking ahead to the current fiscal year ending in September 2025, analysts anticipate that EMR’s EPS will grow by 8.6% to $5.96. The company has a strong earnings surprise history, having surpassed consensus estimates in all four previous quarters.

Market Recommendations Show Caution

Among the 20 analysts monitoring EMR, the consensus rating stands at a “Moderate Buy.” This rating is supported by 14 “Strong Buys,” one “Moderate Buy,” four “Holds,” and one “Moderate Sell.”

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In the last three months, recommendations have become slightly less optimistic, dropping from 16 “Strong Buy” ratings to the current figures.

Recent Analyst Upgrades Point to Potential

On November 6, Barclays upgraded Emerson Electric’s price target to $116 and maintained an Equal Weight rating, noting a potentially favorable market response due to the closure of the Aspen Technology (AZPN) deal, an in-line Q1 outlook, and negative investor positioning.

Currently, EMR’s trading price is below the mean price target of $126.80. The highest Street price target is set at $139, suggesting an upside potential of 18.1% from the current price.

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On the date of publication, Sohini Mondal did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article are solely for informational purposes. For more information, please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.

The views and opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

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