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Comparing Textron’s Stock Performance to Its Aerospace & Defense Peers: A Comprehensive Analysis

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Textron Inc. Faces Challenges as Stock Prices Decline

Overview of Textron’s Business Portfolio

Textron Inc. (TXT), with a market cap of $14.3 billion, is a diversified global company engaged in various sectors, including aviation, defense, industrial products, and specialized vehicles. Headquartered in Providence, Rhode Island, it operates several divisions: Textron Aviation, Bell, Textron Systems, Industrial, and Finance.

Classified as a “large-cap stock,” which typically includes companies valued at $10 billion or more, Textron has been a notable player since its founding in 1923. The company prides itself on its innovative spirit and global reach, providing solutions and products to government and commercial clients alike. Emphasizing technology and outstanding customer service, Textron strives for operational excellence in its diverse markets.

Recent Stock Performance and Market Trends

Currently, shares of TXT are trading 21.5% below their 52-week high of $97.33, reached on April 8. This is part of a broader decline, with the stock falling 12% over the last three months. In contrast, the SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF (XAR) has seen a gain of about 5.7% in the same period.

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Over the past six months, TXT has dropped 11.9%, and it has seen a 5% decline over the past year. Meanwhile, the XLR has posted gains of 16.6% and 22.3% over these respective time frames.

Further confirming this downward trend, TXT’s shares have been trading below their 200-day moving average since mid-October and under the 50-day moving average since early December.

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Factors Contributing to Price Decline

Several factors have hindered Textron’s stock price. Disruptions in the aviation segment due to a labor strike have been significant, alongside decreasing revenues and lower operating profits in the industrial sector driven by weakness in specialized vehicle markets. These issues have collectively slowed TEX’s price momentum.

On October 24, after Textron reported disappointing third-quarter earnings, its shares plummeted by 6.2%. Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) were $1.40, below the consensus estimate of $1.46, while revenue of $3.43 billion also missed Wall Street’s forecast of $3.51 billion. The company’s outlook worsened when it revised its full-year 2024 adjusted EPS guidance to a range of $5.40–$5.60, citing the labor strike’s impact.

Comparative Analysis with Industry Rivals

While Textron struggles, its rival GE Aerospace (GE) has performed exceptionally well, experiencing a 66.8% increase over the last year, significantly outpacing Textron’s decline.

Despite the recent downturn, analysts show moderate optimism regarding Textron’s future. The stock carries a consensus rating of “Moderate Buy” from 13 analysts, with a mean price target of $98.15, suggesting a potential upside of 28.4% from current levels.


On the date of publication, Kritika Sarmah did not hold (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article are intended for informational purposes. For additional details, please refer to the Barchart Disclosure Policy.

The views and opinions expressed herein are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

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