Trump’s Proposal to Eliminate EV Subsidies: Potential Impacts on Rivian

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Rivian Automotive (NASDAQ: RIVN) plans to begin production of three new affordable electric vehicles (EVs) in early 2026, targeting prices under $50,000. This strategic shift follows the success of Tesla’s affordable Model Y and Model 3, which constitute over 90% of Tesla’s sales. However, Rivian faces potential setbacks due to President Donald Trump’s proposed bill to cut federal EV tax credits, which could increase vehicle prices by $4,000 to $7,500.

Despite these challenges, Rivian is well-positioned with $4.7 billion in cash and a partnership with Volkswagen. The company’s current models are priced between $70,000 and $100,000, but if it successfully introduces affordable EVs, it could significantly expand its customer base. Although the elimination of tax credits may reduce near-term demand, Rivian’s development progress and potential to outpace competitors like Lucid Group could enhance its long-term market share.

Overall, Rivian is aiming for a major growth milestone, but short-term demand may decline due to the impacts of the proposed tax credit cuts. Rivian’s future depends on its ability to navigate both production and market challenges effectively.

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