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Date: July 30
Event: Predicted market shift based on over 30 years of market data
Organization: TradeSmith, led by Keith Kaplan
The Trade Cycles system has indicated a significant seasonal turning point approaching on July 30, predicting a bearish trend after a bullish period since June 28. Historically, the S&P 500 has experienced a more than 50% chance of declining post-July 28, with an average return of -1.8% over the next three months following this time of growth.
Key Data: The bullish window has seen gains for the S&P 500 in the last 15 years, but the upcoming regime change suggests that investors should be prepared to take profits swiftly. The seasonality tool boasts a back-tested accuracy of 83% in predicting such shifts.
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