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Analyzing NIKE Stock Performance Against the S&P 500 Benchmarks

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NIKE, Inc. Struggles Amid Declining Revenues and Investor Uncertainty

With a market cap of $117.8 billion, NIKE, Inc. (NKE) stands as a leading global player in athletic footwear, apparel, and gear for individuals of all ages. The company, famous for its strong brands including Nike, Air Jordan, and Converse, is noted for delivering high-quality products that resonate with current consumer preferences.

A Large-Cap Stock with Global Reach

NIKE qualifies as a “large-cap” stock because it exceeds the $10 billion valuation threshold. Its iconic ‘swoosh’ logo and ‘Just Do It’ slogan enjoy worldwide recognition. NIKE’s influence is notable in major markets like the U.S., U.K., Japan, and China, reinforced by collaborations with prominent athletes and sports teams.

Recent Stock Performance and Market Comparison

The company has experienced a significant pullback of 34.5% from its 52-week high of $123.39. While shares of NKE have seen a slight increase over the last three months, this is minimal compared to the broader S&P 500 Index’s ($SPX) impressive rise of 12.7% during the same timeframe.

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On a year-to-date basis, NIKE shares have decreased by 25.6%, falling short of SPX’s 27.8% increase. In the past year, NIKE’s stock has dropped 30.4%, contrasting with the S&P 500’s 34% return.

Concerns Following Fiscal Q1 2025 Results

NKE’s stock suffered a 6.7% drop on October 2, following the announcement of its fiscal Q1 2025 results. The company reported a 10% revenue decline to $11.6 billion and a drastic 28% fall in net income to $1.1 billion, though it did surpass profit expectations. Compounding investor anxiety, NIKE withdrew its full-year guidance and decided to postpone its November investor day in light of an upcoming CEO transition. Management also acknowledged that revenue is deteriorating more than the previously anticipated mid-single-digit decrease for fiscal 2025, with gross margins expected to decline further.

In contrast, Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK) has sung a different tune, achieving a 74.8% increase in its stock price over the past year and a striking 79.9% gain year-to-date, far exceeding NIKE’s performance.

Analyst Opinions: A Mix of Caution and Optimism

Despite the rough ride NEKE has faced relative to the SPX, analysts maintain a cautiously optimistic sentiment. There’s a consensus rating of “Moderate Buy” from the 32 analysts tracking the stock, which is currently trading below the mean price target of $87.76.


On the date of publication, Sohini Mondal did not hold (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article are for informational purposes only. For more information, please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.

The views and opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Nasdaq, Inc.

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