Las Vegas Sands Q1 Earnings Report: Key Insights and Predictions

Las Vegas Sands Stock (NYSE: LVS), a leading casino and resort company operating in Macau and Singapore, is scheduled to report its fiscal first-quarter earnings on Wednesday, April 16, 2025. Analysts anticipate the company will report earnings of $0.57 per share, alongside $2.93 billion in sales. This forecast represents a 14% decrease in earnings and a 1% decline in sales compared to last year’s figures, which were recorded at $0.66 per share and $2.96 billion, respectively. Investors will monitor these results closely as Las Vegas Sands faces ongoing challenges such as macroeconomic pressures and tariff concerns. Historical patterns show that the Stock has increased 60% of the time following earnings announcements, with a median rise of 4.6% and maximum one-day positive returns reaching 12%.

Currently, the company holds a market capitalization of $23 billion. Over the past year, it has generated $11 billion in revenue, maintaining operational profitability with $2.5 billion in operating profits and net income of $1.4 billion. Results will hinge on how they compare with consensus and market expectations, but understanding historical trends can give event-driven traders a strategic advantage.

Strategies for Earnings Release

Traders have two primary options for positioning prior to the earnings announcement: they can either analyze historical performance prior to the release or consider the relationship between immediate and medium-term returns after the earnings are announced. For those seeking reduced volatility relative to individual stocks, the Trefis High-Quality portfolio offers an alternative, having outperformed the S&P 500 with returns exceeding 91% since its inception. see earnings reaction history of all stocks.

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LVS’ Historical Odds of Positive Post-Earnings Return

Here are some key observations regarding one-day (1D) post-earnings returns:

• In the past five years, 20 earnings data points show 12 positive and 8 negative one-day (1D) returns, resulting in positive returns approximately 60% of the time.
• This likelihood rises to 75% when looking at data from the last three years.
• The median return for the 12 positive instances is 4.6%, while the median for the 8 negative instances is -4.3%.

Additional statistics for observed 5-Day (5D) and 21-Day (21D) post-earnings returns are summarized in the table below.

LVS observed 1D, 5D, and 21D returns post earnings

Examining Correlation Between Historical Returns

A prudent strategy involves examining the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns after earnings. Traders can identify pairs with the highest correlation and adjust their positions accordingly. For instance, if the 1D and 5D returns correlate strongly, a trader might opt for a “long” position for the following five days if the initial post-earnings return is positive. The following data illustrates correlations based on both 5-year and 3-year histories.

LVS Correlation Between 1D, 5D, and 21D Historical Returns

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The views and opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.