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European Markets Wrestle with Uncertainty Over Rate Cuts European Markets Wrestle with Uncertainty Over Rate Cuts

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In London (UKX), the market saw a slight dip of 0.09% while the Halifax House Price Index rose by 2.5% year-over-year in January 2024, injecting a semblance of positivity amidst the uncertainty.

In Germany (DAX:IND), there was a marginal decrease of 0.14%, coupled with German industrial output falling by 1.6% month-over-month in December – the fourth consecutive month of contraction, painting a gloomy picture for the industrial sector.

On the brighter side, France (CAC:IND) saw a slight increase of 0.09%, with the country’s current account deficit narrowing sharply to EUR 0.7B in December 2023, after an upwardly revised EUR 2.9B deficit in the previous month.

Additionally, France’s positive turn was accompanied by Spain’s industrial production decline of 0.2% year-over-year in December 2023, and Austria recording a trade surplus of EUR 1.70B in November 2023.

Meanwhile, the Central Bank of Iceland kept the rate on seven-day term deposits at 9.25% for the third consecutive time, hinting at the challenges to stimulate growth in certain economies.

With wholesale prices in Austria dropping by 3.8% year-over-year in January 2024 and retail trade in the Czech Republic rising 1.6% year-over-year in December 2023, the pan-European Stoxx 600 (STOXX) managed to eke out a modest 0.03% gain, trying to stay afloat amid the tempest of uncertainty in the market.

In the bond market, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield (US10Y) witnessed a minimal uptick of less than 1 basis point to 4.10%, while Germany’s 10-year yield took a downward turn of 2 basis points to 2.28%, showcasing the nuanced dynamics playing out in the global bond market.

The U.K.’s 10-year yield experienced a minor increase of 1 basis point to 3.96%, further adding to the complex interplay of factors affecting the market.

Currencies such as (EUR:USD), (GBP:USD), and (CHF:USD) as well as ETFs including (EWG), (GF), (EWI), and others demonstrated the complex fabric of the financial ecosystem, where each thread, no matter how small, has the potential to tug at the entire tapestry of global markets.

As the markets prepare for the upcoming session – a day where the charts look relatively lighter – investors are bracing themselves for the relentless ebb and flow of uncertain dynamics.

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